Saturday, August 29, 2015

What Makes Bruce Bochy and Joe Maddon Great? | FanGraphs Baseball

Image result for bruce bochy and joe maddon

It's not real hard to figure out or quantify. They consistently make the whole greater than the sum of the parts. If in the pre-season you crunch all the numbers and figure they have a team that is expected to win 81 games, they will win you 85-90 games . In Maddon's case, if you expect 70-75 you get 80-85. The classic making a silk purse from a sow's ear.

Bochy generally ranks higher. Due to the three rings, he takes a higher level roster and that's mainly due to the payroll measurement. That should change going forward with Maddon now being employed by the Cubs. The early returns are good for Maddon. With the increased payroll comes increased expectations. He should do very well under the bright lights, but ultimately that is the last question needing answering for Maddon. Consistent out-performance at the higher levels, where wins are harder to come by, and out-performance when all the marbles are on the table. For that reason, Bochy should get a higher grade for now. Check back in another five or ten years.

Both guys have teams that consistently out-perform expectations regardless of how you measure that. Both seem to have a similar demaeanor and approach to handling players, so no difference or surprise there. Showalter would be next-up for now and deserves to be in the team picture among current managers.

from FanGraphs Baseball:
What Makes Bruce Bochy and Joe Maddon Great? | FanGraphs Baseball:

With the Cubs in San Francisco to face the team just behind them in the wild-card race, it makes sense to compare the two managers. After all, they both ended up within the top five in a recent ESPN.com survey, and their teams have both found success in recent years. Though they were born just a year apart, their styles are different enough that they seem to be a study in contrasts.

Who better to ask about what makes them great than their own players and coaches and beat writers? Well, maybe unbiased observers can be more critical than our sample, but the task at hand is to delineate the managers’ strengths.

So, what makes Bruce Bochy great? What makes Joe Maddon great?
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Friday, August 28, 2015

Giants highlights: MadBum's acrobatic play and Tomlinson's grand slam


Note to Giants announcers: In the future, please do not use the term pirouette to describe anything that Madison Bumgarner does EVER again. Thank you.
MadBum's acrobatic play
CHC@SF: MadBum gets out at first with a pirouette
http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/51231442/v418245583/?c_id=mlb

The mental image of MadBum in a tu-tu due to the use of the said term "pirouette" combined with seeing my life, as personified by the Giants season, flash before my eyes as I imagined Bumgarner coming down in a crumpled heap as Duffy did a night or two ago, produced a mental cluster-bomb of epic proportions. I literally threw up in my mouth watching that. We'll have no more of that, thank you very much.

Also, Note to Brandon Belt: Make a better throw for Pete's sake. Lead him to the bag. Throw where he's going to be, not where he is. You looked like one of those Little League kids on that throw. Kudos on the snag though.

Sure looks like this Tomlinson kid is making it easier on the Giants to activate Joe Panik as planned on September 1st and then promptly designate him for assignment, He probably has options left. 
Tomlinson's grand slam

CHC@SF: Tomlinson hits grand slam for first ML homer
http://m.giants.mlb.com/sf/video/v418444083/?team_id=137

Giants starting rotation - a revolving door attached to a M.A.S.H. unit

Image result for revolving door


Given that the Giants starting rotation -- save Bumgarner -- has become a revolving door of ineptitude, inefficiency, inconsistency and injury, it's amazing the Giants are still in contention. It's a revolving door attached to a MASH unit.

Where's Timmy? Or Tim for that matter? Heston is gassed and sent down to AAA to recharge his batteries I guess. Leake has hardly contributed and now Vogie is back to being bad Vogie. Peavy wavers back and forth like a weather-vane. And Matt Cain. What to do about Matt Cain?

I don't envy Bochy and the staff if the Giants continue to stay in contention and it appears likely the Dodgers are going to see to it that they do until the end of September at least. Failing that, I would have like to have seen what a Clayton Blackburn can do against major league hitters. I guess there is always spring training for that.

For now, there is a division pennant that nobody seems to want hanging out there. The walking wounded that the Giants are becoming might as well be the ones to snatch it.

from MLB Daily Dish:
Bruce Bochy has a difficult decision looming - MLB Daily Dish:
As of today, their rotation consists of Madison Bumgarner, Chris Heston, Jake Peavy, Ryan Vogelsong, and Matt Cain; however Mike Leake is set to come off the DL in the next few days, and he'll undoubtedly be slotted back in. Unfortunately that means that someone will be pushed to the bullpen, or demoted to the minor leagues to make room.
AugustIPK/9BB/9HR/9ERAFIPSIERAfWAR
Madison Bumgarner25.112.40.360.000.710.461.481.7
Ryan Vogelsong15.011.43.600.602.402.643.170.4
Jake Peavy16.28.643.240.544.323.053.950.3
Chris Heston19.25.035.951.374.586.116.01-0.3
Matt Cain19.25.493.662.297.327.025.08-0.5
In Bochy's tenure as manager of the Giants, he's largely stuck with the hot hand when it comes to making decisions on playing time; and if that holds true, then it would seem likely that Heston or Cain is on the hot seat. Neither has performed well in August, and ultimately, the deciding factor could be how Heston pitches in his next start.
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Where to look for future Giants IF prospects


Squirrels Baseball (@GoSquirrels)
Your Squirrels starting lineup! Richmond takes on Harrisburg and #2 @MiLB prospect Lucas Giolito.#GoSquirrels #GoNuts pic.twitter.com/ETTx5iAqS7

I guess judging by the recent success of Panik, Duffy and now the grand-slamming, .340 hitting, Kelby Tomlinson, it appears that Richmond is the place to start looking at future Giants prospects in general and future MIF prospects specifically.

From the lineup shown above, perhaps more prospect love and attention should be given to 2B Austin Slater and RF Hunter Cole.

What are the Giants going to do with all these IF'ers and only three IF positions? I wish they would crank out starting pitching prospects as prolifically.

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Friday, August 21, 2015

To the Unheralded Ones - NL Rookie of the Year No Longer a Two-Horse Race | FanGraphs



Both the catch by Juan Perez, making a spot start in CF just up from AAA, and the FanGraphs article below, speculating on the chances of Matt Duffy and perhaps Chris Heston in the Rookie of the Year chase, demonstrate why the Giants have won three rings in the last five years. They get big-time contributions from a seemingly endless parade of  what were heretofore nondescript, unheralded players.

A bunch of "Meh" Guys. The Unheralded Ones.

from fangraphs:
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/nl-rookie-of-the-year-no-longer-a-two-horse-race/

Heading into the season, Kris Bryant enjoyed favored status when it came to predicting a National League Rookie of the Year. When FanGraphs writers were polled before the season, 20 of 36 votes went to the Chicago Cubs’ third baseman; seven went Joc Pederson; six were cast for Jorge SolerNoah Syndergaard,Jung Ho Kang and Raisel Iglesias each got one. A couple months into the season, Pederson inserted himself into the race with 13 home runs by the end of May. As the year has moved on, Bryant and Pederson have come back to the pack a bit while Matt Duffy, Kang and Syndergaard have moved into the conversation for the NL’s top rookie. The award is no longer a two-horse battle, and all the players who have risen up are sure to see plenty of exposure since each of them is in the middle of a pennant race.
 NL ROY CANDIDATES- CUMULATIVE OFFENSIVE RUNS ABOVE AVERAGE
The chart below shows each rookie’s current WAR and the rest of the season projection from the FanGraphs Depth Charts. The third column adds the first two, showing the expected WAR at the end of the season.

WARROS WARUPDATED WAR
Kris Bryant3.41.65.0
Matt Duffy3.10.83.9
Joc Pederson2.71.13.8
Noah Syndergaard2.51.23.7
Jung-Ho Kang2.70.83.5
Randal Grichuk2.70.63.3
Chris Heston2.30.93.2
Maikel Franco1.30.72.0
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  • Matt Duffy didn't appear on too many Top 10 prospects list, certainly not mine, but was a cult favorite among Giants watchers.
  • Joe Panik was met with mostly yawns and generally panned as a first rounder. 
  • Chris Heston was not a Top Ten Prospect, yet makes a solid contribution as a starter.
  • Add in the bench mob, guys like Juan Perez and Gregor Blanco, who would be a starter and a solid contributor on quite a few teams.  

So yeah, it would be nice to dream of Matt Duffy winning the ROY award this year. But let's face it, Kris Bryant was the pre-season Heralded One by the prognosticators ( see FanGraphs reference) and they have a vested interest in confirming their predictions ( see, I was right!! Yippee!! ). Matt Duffy was heralded by NOBODY. Therefore, just like in boxing. Duffy is the challenger and has to either knock-out or decisively win by decision or acclamation. If both guys are standing at the end of the year and it's close statistically, the decision will go to Bryant. Having said that, (or really having written that) I do give Duffy a punchers chance to win because he is such a fighter and has overcome long odds his entire professional career just to get to this spot.

So, MATT DUFFY for ROOKIE OF THE YEAR!! Or just break the odd year even year thingy. Whatever. A little more help from some of the more heralded ones not named Bumgarner or Posey or Crawford would be of great help in that regard.


Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Vogel-Strong!!



These 30 pitch first innings are becoming de-rigeur for the Giants staff and that has to stop, but other than that......Vogel-strong. He's positioning himself ahead of the Walking Wounded - Peavy, Hudson, Lincecum and now Mike Leake.

Leake needs to come back strong and Cain needs to have a start where he announces his presence with authority. Right now, Cain would likely be out of any post-season starting rotation and that is unfortunate.. The stuff looks OK, the command is just not there. It comes and goes and when it goes the ball flies.  Given that he is pitching with a "new" elbow, that makes sense, but it simply has to come around soon.

from CSN Bay Area:
Rewind: Vogelsong embraces pressure, leads way for Giants | CSN Bay Area:
Bochy had the right man ready when Mike Leake's hamstring couldn't answer the bell Tuesday. Vogelsong pitched six shutout innings, allowing just two hits. He shook off a slow start -- a 30-pitch first inning -- and thoroughly dominated with a fastball that was so lively that Bochy wondered if he was even going to use his secondary pitches. Vogelsong retired 16 of the final 17 Cardinals he faced, striking out the side in the third inning and setting the Cardinals down with ease in his final frame.

"He's a warrior," Bochy said. "This guy will give you all he has, and that's all you can ask. He's well-prepared and he has a great focus. That was a long first inning and that's kind of been his niche, but he responded."
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Blach deals, Williamson rakes - Good news for the future


Good news for the Giants out of Sacramento!! From Blach or Blackburn or Crick, or whoever steps forward and pulls a Chris Heston, will come the bottom half of the Giants starting rotation of the future. It appears that Hudson, Lincecum, and perhaps Vogelsong and Peavy are on their last legs as Giants, If the Giants fall off the pace, maybe we see a start or two from one of the future starters late-September, but don't expect that to happen. One of these guys will have to come into spring training with guns blazing and grab a spot ( or two, if Mike Leake is not retained ).

Not bad to see Williamson hitting at this level as well. He is one of the few potential impact bats the Giants have, assuming that Kelby Tomlinson doesn't disappear into a phone booth and morph into......Matt Duffy 2.0. I bet you thought I was going to say Superman, right? We'll settle for a Duff-Man sidekick for now. The kid looks good in thew batters box but perhaps a little lost in the field for right now. You can see how important chemistry is between SS and 2B men recently since Panik has been on the shelf. Crawford looks like he's trying to do too much and at times Tomlinosn looks like he's either in the way or lost..




Blach deals, Williamson rakes for River Cats

Giants' No. 20 prospect goes distance; roommate mashes grand slam

By Tyler Maun / MiLB.com


Sacramento's Ty Blach silenced hitters on the mound and his roommate wrecked Round Rock pitching at the plate.
The Giants' No. 20 prospect tossed the first nine-inning complete game of his career, scattering three hits and two walks while striking out six as the Triple-A River Cats crushed the visiting Express, 11-0, at Raley Field.

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Monday, August 17, 2015

10 Degrees: Buster Posey headlines baseball's best seasons no one is noticing - Yahoo Sports

 gallery


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Buster Posey (right) has developed into one of baseball's best defensive catchers. (Getty Images)

Buster Posey (right) has developed into one of baseball's best defensive catchers. (Getty Images)


I'm not sure you'll get the buy-in from the St. Louis precincts, especially regarding the best defensive catcher part, but other than that, all true. Hitting, handling a staff, framing pitches, throwing out runners and quiet leadership. Posey checks off all the boxes as they say.


from Yahoo Sports:
10 Degrees: Buster Posey headlines baseball's best seasons no one is noticing - Yahoo Sports:

1. Buster Posey to be two-thirds of the way to one of the greatest seasons ever from a catcher with barely a mention of just how great it's been is almost as incredible as what he has done.
First consider Posey's offensive line: .327/.385/.495. In history, only 11 other catchers who played 75 percent of their games behind the plate put up such a line. Posey was the last to do it in his 2012 MVP season. Mauer did it twice, as did Bubbles Hargrave and Hall of Famers Gabby Hartnett, Bill Dickey and Mickey Cochrane. Only Mike Piazza reached the thresholds three times.
While his bat is as good as ever, Posey's ability to stifle runners is newfound and damn near unfair. In 2012, runners stole a major league-high 87 bases off him and were caught 30.4 percent of the time. This season, in 44 attempts, Posey has thrown out 20 runners – a big league-best 45.5 percent caught stealing. Combine that with his annually tremendous framing skills – Posey has saved an estimated 16 runs turning balls into strikes at a higher rate than all but three other regular catchers, according to statcorner.com – and not only is he the top offensive catcher in baseball, one could argue he's the preeminent on defense, too.



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Friday, August 07, 2015

MLB.com 2015 Prospect Watch | #27 Luis Ysla


All good until this line:
 "His delivery leads to questions about durability and makes it tough to repeatedly stay on top of his pitches," 

When you see that you worry not only about durability but health long-term. Ysla is still young so not too late to turn things around, but it's hard to change mechanics too much at 23. This may explain in part the #27 ranking. You can't give up too easily on hard throwing left handed pitchers though.

Not a former Cape Cod League performer, so bummer there, but on the other hand they have had good fortune prospecting in Venezuela in the past, so there is that.
Luis Ysla | Rank: 27 (Preseason: 10)
Team: San Jose Giants (A Adv)ETA: 2017Position: LHPAge: 23 DOB: 04/27/1992Bats: L Throws: LHeight: 6' 1" Weight: 185 lb.
Signed: Sept. 11, 2012 - SF
VIDEO
Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 55 | Control: 40 | Overall: 45
Ysla was old enough to turn pro in 2008, yet no one signed him out of Venezuela until the Giants handed him a meager $7,500 bonus at the relatively advanced age of 20 four years later. He has earned league all-star recognition in each of his two pro seasons and led the low Class A South Atlantic League with a 2.45 ERA when he made his full-season debut in 2014. His transition to high Class A this year has not gone well, however.
Ysla slings the ball with a lot of effort from a low slot, which doesn't look pretty but generates plenty of velocity. He works at 91-94 mph and can hit 97 with his fastball. Both of his secondary pitches show solid-or-better potential, with his changeup more reliable than his slider at this point.
His delivery leads to questions about durability and makes it tough to repeatedly stay on top of his pitches, costing Ysla some control and command. San Francisco has used him as both a starter and reliever in 2015, and the latter role could be his future. He could be a devastating specialist because his power and arm slot make him tough on lefties.
2015
CAL

TeamWLERAGGSSVIPHHRBBKAVGWHIPGO/AO
SJ255.74267064.18963476.3281.910.71
Minors255.74267064.18963476.3281.91

Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.