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Thursday, September 30, 2010

Giants fate is in their own hands


That's all you can ask for at this time of year.

Lincecum shuts the door after one mistake to Stephen Drew and by moving him back a day, the Giants are now set up well for the Padres series. Thanks to the Cubs stepping up and taking two games from the Padres, the Pads now have to take two of three from the Giants to tie and then possibly beat Lincecum in a tie-breaker, winner take all game.

That assumes that things stay the way they are after tonight's games. If the Giants pick up one game and are up by three games entering the Padres series, it's all but over. The Padres would have to sweep three to tie and then beat Lincecum in SD. Probably not happening.

If the gap stays at two after tonight and the Giants lose two of three at home and then the tie breaker in SD, with their ace on the bump, then they simply don't deserve to win the division.

I like our chances as they stand today.

The Braves have to virtually lose out to not make the playoffs, so their chances are @ 92%.

The Giants chances are posted @ 91% and the Padres are listed @ 17%. They have beaten the Giants ten of fifteen times this year so far, a 2 out of three pace, so they have to have some confidence. If they are forced to win three or four straight, that leaves too little margin of error and the Giants should be able to celebrate a division clincher at home sometime this weekend.

And if you think I sound cranky when the Giants are losing or not doing well, wait until you hear me when they are winning. It's not good.

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