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Saturday, December 01, 2012

Giants Non-Tender Brian Wilson: MLB Rumors - MLBTradeRumors.com


It would really blow to see The Beard in LA-LA land. Red Sox, not so much. Another year with the Giants, defend the title, post some stats to get some big time cheese is still the hope and expectation.

Giants Non-Tender Brian Wilson: MLB Rumors - MLBTradeRumors.com:

"Although re-signing with the Giants remain possible, recent speculation indicated Wilson could also have interest in pitching for the Dodgers or Red Sox. He makes his offseason home in Los Angeles and grew up in New Hampshire rooting for the Sox. If Ryan Madson's contract is any indication, Wilson is looking at a one-year, low-base salary, incentive-laden contract for next year."

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from BayCityBall.com
On non-tendering Brian Wilson:

The Giants don’t want to pay Brian Wilson $7-8M. In most contexts that seems fair for a pitcher coming back from a fairly serious injury. However, the problem with Wilson and the Giants is complicated by the contractual system in baseball. The Giants can’t pay Wilson less than 80-percent of what he made in 2012 ($8.5M) and if they try to non-tender him and bring him back at a lower salary, there’s no guarantee that he will agree to come back; at that point, he’s able to negotiate with any club that might be interested in his services.

In Wilson’s case, his 2011 was full of warning signs that he was probably hurting: these graphs do a pretty good job of telling that story. Lower strikeouts. Rising walk-rate. Decline in velocity. Those are the classic red flags of arm injuries. In hindsight, the Giants clearly knew something was up. The team often hid Wilson this past Spring Training, making him throw on back fields and keeping his appearances away from reporters.

The $7M question is which Brian Wilson will the Giants get in 2013? The version that was struggling to crack 90 mph in 2012 or some amalgamation of his past self. Wilson’s rise to success isn’t lost on me. He was the first legitimate closer the Giants had since Robb Nen and he closed the books on names like Herges, Walker, and Benitez. His dominant run from 2009-2010 is one of the best among franchise history. He’s been a really, really successful pitcher. But, as we know, pitchers are fragile things, held together by tape and string and bits of Velcro.


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