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Monday, August 05, 2013

As they round the turn and head for the finish line....



Both leagues have basically trimmed the field almost in half in terms of teams with valid chances of making the playoffs. 

In the AL:
Boston, Detroit and Oakland look secure to win their respective divisions as of today.

The two wild card candidates the Rays and Indians could switch places with the Red Sox and Tigers respectively, but the rest of the field has less than  a 10-1 shot to make the playoffs, with the Yankees, Orioles and the Royals putting up a respectable run. The LA Angels have to be disappointed in a <.500 season given the payroll dollars expended. The Rangers just have to be disappointed overall. The Blue Jays, Mariners and Twins are sharing a room in the Motel Medicore, while the White Sox ( they're probably getting hosed by bad umpiring, Dad Gum It!!!, STRETCH!!! ) and the AAA-Astros bring up the rear. 

In the NL:
Atlanta, Pittsburgh and the Dodgers look like the best bets to hold on and win the divisions.

The Cardinals could give the Pirates a push, but they still look like the real deal to me. The Reds should hold on and win the last wild-card spot over the Diamondbacks. The Nationals have to be disappointed in a <.500 season after last years showing. No word on whether they have reconsidered the Strasburg shutdown. My guess would be "NO!!" at this point, perhaps maybe even "HELL, NO!!"  but we'll see if another season or two of not making the playoff changes their minds or costs somebody their job. The Rockies, Phillies, Padres, Giants, Mets and even the Cubs are all locked together in that morass of mediocrity that is the .450 winning percentage level. One of them could and should break away from the pack and challenge for a playoff spot (hint: Giants) but we shall see. Milwaukee and the Marlins are playing for the top draft pick, something the Marlins have the most experience with and therefore should win by losing. Don't discount the Astros, now on the distaff side or the White Sox, either. 
Guess what fellas?, The next Bryce Harper is not walking through that door come 2014 MLB Draft Day, so the Suck for Luck strategy is not quite as valuable here as it is in other sports. In baseball, there is no reward for sucking. 

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