One bad play, one bad inning changes the whole game and the whole emotional dynamic for both teams. Washington can rightly feel that THEY should be up 2-1 instead of down 2-1 and the Giants understandably do not want to go back to Washington http://www.csnbayarea.com/giants/belt-nobody-wants-go-back-washington.
from CSN Bay Area:
Rewind: Bumgarner, Giants throw away Game 3 to Nationals | CSN Bay Area:
And Posey acknowledged the rest – that yes, he was yelling “Three! Three!” as Bumgarner fielded catcher Wilson Ramos’s two-strike bunt with runners at first and second in the seventh inning of a scoreless game. Bumgarner, his face forlorn, later shook his head as he walked out the clubhouse door. “Doesn’t matter,” he said. “He didn’t tell me to throw it into left field.”'via Blog this'
Game Four now becomes almost just as much of a must win for the Giants as it is for the National and the pressure now shifts to the Giants side of the field. These are all factors that cannot be plugged well into a spreadsheet. So from a purely mathematical standpoint the Nationals odds of advancing increase from 10% to maybe 30-35%, if you add the emotional component, it may be close to a toss-up.
It would help if the top of the order contributes, Blanco and Panik have gone fairly cold last couple of games and the Giants need a break-out from one or both tonight. In fairness to Panik, who was hitting .143 in this series last night, that is about middle of the pack for all hitters in this series. Other than Posey and Rendon, I'm not sure who is really contributing consistently with the bats, the pitching has been simply dominant.
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