Pages

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Spring Training: Watching Bumgarner vs. Posey I (Priceless!!)




https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10152656891366828&pnref=story

https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10152656674896828&set=vb.43225541827&type=3&permPage=1

I would have paid to watch these two go at it full tilt. Judging by Alex Pavlovic story and tweets, they might have been. That would have made this well worth the price of admission. More than just a battle of Giants, this was epic spring training competition.

from csbbayarea.com:
http://www.csnbayarea.com/giants/posey-clear-winner-during-first-matchup-bumgarner?p=ya5nbcs&ocid=yahoo

Bumgarner and Posey sailed through October by relying on an unhittable fastball-cutter combination, and Bumgarner went back to his bread-and-butter when Posey stepped back into the box, mixing in a touch of the moxie he showed so often last season. Posey had yelled “Cain threw harder” when he walked out after the first two “hits,” so Bumgarner let it rip when Posey stepped back into the box. A fastball cut in at Posey’s knees, leading to smiles all around. 
The next pitch was a curve — a beauty, Bumgarner thought. Posey lined it off the base of the wall in dead center, 10 feet under the “430 feet” sign. 
“The curve made me scratch my head,” Bumgarner said. “I was like, you look pretty dang sharp for the second or third day. I thought (the curveball) was really good. I was surprised, especially after all the fastballs. That’s completely uncalled for, him doing that like he did.”
Pitchers are generally far ahead of hitters early in camp, and Bumgarner hasn’t given up any real contact to others through two live BP sessions. (Belt gleefully noted that he topped a ball that rolled 30 feet down the third-base line for what would have been an infield hit in a game.) After hitting the ball off the wall, Posey stepped out of the cage. Bumgarner laughed and gestured at him to stay in the box. Posey yelled back that he didn’t want to hurt Bumgarner’s confidence any more than he already had. 
“It’s not going to get much better, so I might as well end on a high note,” Posey said later. “Let that one rest in his mind a little.”
“I wasn’t quite done with him yet,” Bumgarner said. “He’s my catcher. I like throwing to him and I want him to feel good. I’m going to try to give him something he can hit before I get him out. At least, that’s what I’m saying. That’s my side of the story.”

The Parent's Role in Athletics by Bruce Brown - Why most of us screw it up (CLASSIC)


Monday, September 28, 2009


The Parent's Role in Athletics, by Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown, Teacher, Coach, Athletic Administrator
Special thanks to the RHS Women's Soccer Team (4-2) for posting this Letter on their team website.  His teaching applies to all sports.  Their next five home games are  9/29, 7:30 pm vs. Garfield ; 10/6, 7:30 pm vs. Woodinville, and 10/13, 7:30 vs. Lake Washington, 10/15 vs. Bothell, 10/23 vs. Skyline. 

Bruce (BIO) has been a teacher and coach of youth, HS and college athletics for 30 years in the state of Washington. He is currently a special presenter for the NAIA and speaks around the country on the role of athletics with players, coaches and parents.  Below, are Mr. Brown's observation and advice he has given to our Redmond youth over the years:
Athletic Pyramid - "70% of all children stop playing organized sports by the age of 13"
Bruce let us know that he was here to represent kids - that he was going to share with us what he's heard from kids over the past 35 years - - the things kids would like to tell us about how to help their performance and create great memories, but probably won't.

Before the season begins:Parents, write out your goals, role and success criteria for a successful season. Then have your children write out their goals, role and success criteria. If your answers do not match their answers, throw yours away and adopt theirs!
Scholarship Athletes:  If your goal is to have your child earn a scholarship – take them out of soccer and spend 3 hours a day with them at the library. There is 1 athletic scholarship for every 100 academic scholarships.
Why Kids Play Soccer @ RHSKids play soccer to have fun, gain recognition, and represent their school!

What are the responsibilities of parents of RHS soccer players?
Release your child to the program. Release them for the opportunity to be responsible for their actions and outcomes – all the success and problems are theirs to experience. Issues with playing time, with other kids (team members and opponents) and with coaches are their responsibility.

As parents we have so few opportunities to release our children to manage an activity completely on their own. Athletics are one of the few opportunities for some children to succeed or fail in a safe environment.

Red Flags!  Here are a few red flags that you may be too involved in your child's athletics:
1/ You share in the credit after a game when things go well
2/ You attempt to resolve your child's problem with the coaches
3/ You continue to coach them when it is obvious that they know more about the sport than you
do…usually around age 13
4/ You talk or yell at a referee
5/ You make excuses for failures on the field
6/ Your kids avoid you after the game – physically or conversationally
7/ You are more nervous about a game than your child
8/ The outcome of the game good/bad lasts longer on you than it does on your child

Parents Role During the Game:  We want to provide an atmosphere of support, sportsmanship and encouragement. Please review the following five rules the coaching staff would like you to follow to maximize your child's experience.

1/ Practice Objectivity: Soccer is a fast contact sport in a confined space that makes it very subjective. The game is perceived by what color jersey your child is wearing. Go to a game where you don't know anyone, and you'll be amazed at what good coaching and refereeing there is!

2/ Model Appropriate Behavior: We have all seen screaming parents. Remember that you are a role model for your child and that your actions may negatively impact their experience.

3/ Focus on the Team: Try to avoid having a spotlight on your child throughout the whole game. Soccer is a team sport. It can place additional pressure on your child.

4/ One Instructional Voice: Release your child to take instruction from his coach. Support, encourage, and yell positives all night, but leave the instruction to the coach.

5/ Four Roles: You can be a player, coach, referee or a fan. We all must pick one role…we can't be two!

Parents Role After the Game:   Most HS kids don't want to rehash each and every play of the game and get your analysis. Practice your quiet, reflective listening skills; kids will explore the game in the manner and time that it is appropriate.

Worse Memories for Athletes:  It is surprising to find that so many kids in HS define their worst HS sports experience as riding home with parents. 

Praise – Don't Criticize:  Any kid will tell you that they love having their family at the game. The only exception is when a parent is not modeling appropriate behavior. Your child's athletic career goes by very quickly…enjoy the experience with your child. 

Common Player's Statement – I loved having my grandparents come to my games, they didn't care if we won or lost, they only said "they loved watching me play."

Bruce Brown's Biography:  http://www.hitrunscore.com/bruce-brown-biography.html
Bruce Brown's Book:  http://www.proactivecoaching.info/
Redmond High School Women's Soccer Team: http://schools.lwsd.org/RHS/athletics/soccer/Girls/index.htm
* My daughter plays RHS Varsity Basketball and we've heard Bruce's inspiring talk. Coach Dennis Edwards invited Bruce Brown to speak to Woman's Basketball Teams several years ago.

Basketball Hall Of Famer Bill Bradley Was Known For Alleged 'DeflateGate' Tactic | ThePostGame

Embedded image permalink



from The Post Game:

In case the type in the Tribune clipping is too small for you to read, here are Jackson's quotes from it:
"What we used to do was deflate the ball. We were a short team with our big guys like Willis (Reed), our center, only about 6-8 and Jerry Lucas also 6-8. DeBusschere, 6-6. So what we had to rely on was boxing out and hoping the rebound didn't go long."
"To help ensure that, we'd try to take some air out of the ball. You see, on the ball it says something like 'inflate to 7 to 9 pounds.' We'd all carry pins and take the air out to deaden the ball."
"It also helped our offense because we were a team that liked to pass the ball without dribbling it, so it didn't matter how much air was in the ball. It also kept other teams from running on us because when they'd dribble the ball, it wouldn't come up so fast."

The Statistical Problem of Sample Sizes both Large and Small




So let me see if I have this straight? A small sample size can be a problem according to the Fan Graphs article below, But a large sample size can also present problems according to Relevant Insights? What's a stat geek to do?

From Fan Graphs: "Also, a quote worth remembering: 'In small sample sizes, a good scout is ALWAYS better than stats.'"

Maybe in both small and large sample sizes, it's good to have the eyes, ears and guts of a seasoned scout to guide an organizations fortunes.

from Relevant Insights: 
http://www.relevantinsights.com/representative-sample
 I often get asked "What sample size do I need to get a representative sample?" The problem is that this question is not formulated correctly. 
Sample size and representativeness are two related, but different issues. The sheer size of a sample is not a guarantee of its ability to accurately represent a target population. Large unrepresentative samples can perform as badly as small unrepresentative samples.
A survey sample's ability to represent a population has to do with the sampling frame; that is the list from which the sample is selected. When some parts of the target population are not included in the sampled population, we are faced with selection bias, which prevent us from claiming that the sample is representative of the target population. Selection bias can occur in different ways:


from Fan Graphs:
Sample Size | FanGraphs Sabermetrics Library:

Sample Size

So we have all of these statistics, but when can we use them?  Suppose a player goes three for three in their first game in the big leagues.  Should we expect this player to continue batting 1.000 for the rest of the season?  Of course not, that’d be silly.  Three at-bats is way too small a sample to draw conclusions about a player, but then we’re left with the question: at what point do statistics become reliable?
There has been a lot of research done in this area by Russell Carleton (AKA: the artist formerly known as Pizza Cutter). For his most recent work, you can find his full research at Baseball Prospectus. We’ve included links and a summary below:

Stabilization Points for Offense Statistics:
  • 60 PA: Strikeout rate
  • 120 PA: Walk rate
  • 240 PA: HBP rate
  • 290 PA: Single rate
  • 1610 PA: XBH rate
  • 170 PA: HR rate
  • 910 AB: AVG
  • 460 PA: OBP
  • 320 AB: SLG
  • 160 AB: ISO
  • 80 BIP: GB rate
  • 80 BIP: FB rate
  • 600 BIP: LD rate
  • 50 FBs: HR per FB
  • 820 BIP: BABIP
Stabilization Points for Pitching Statistics:
  • 70 BF: Strikeout rate
  • 170 BF: Walk rate
  • 640 BF: HBP rate
  • 670 BF: Single rate
  • 1450 BF: XBH rate
  • 1320 BF: HR rate
  • 630 BF: AVG
  • 540 BF: OBP
  • 550 AB: SLG
  • 630 AB: ISO
  • 70 BIP: GB rate
  • 70 BIP: FB rate
  • 650 BIP: LD rate
  • 400 FB: HR per FB
  • 2000 BIP: BABIP
In case it’s not obvious, you can tell a lot more about a hitter from one year of data than you can about a pitcher. If a statistic is not included, the means it did not stabilize over the intervals that Russell Carleton tested.

Also, a quote worth remembering: “In small sample sizes, a good scout is ALWAYS better than stats.”

'via Blog this'

Barry Bonds' swing: makes him the most feared hitter in the game


A Giant Amongst Legends [Archive] - Baseball Fever
After searching thru this section of the board I was unable to find a thread that celebrated and looked back in depth at the career of Barry Lamar Bonds. It is at this point I decided to start my own. Bonds is at most the greatest player who ever lived, and at the least th...
Preview by Yahoo
  
image
Preview by Yahoo

Barry Bonds' swing: makes him the most feared hitter in the game
Baseball Digest, Sept, 2003 by Chuck Johnson

COMPACT, QUICK, SELECTIVE, smooth, explosive and sweet are some of the adjectives that describe the bat swing of Barry Bonds. But ask the San Francisco Giants' slugger about it, and that subject is off-limits.

Like a gourmet chef with a secret recipe, Bonds is wary of giving away anything about how he keeps his bat cooking. The five-time National League MVP says he has never talked publicly about his swing and won't until after his career is over.

Bonds' swing isn't unique, says Hall of Fame-bound Tony Gwynn. What separates him from the pack, Gwynn says, is his ability to consistently get his hands and body in optimum position to hit almost any PITCH fair.

"He can discuss it, and he can describe it anyway he wants to," Gwynn says. "But good hitters have been doing this for years. You read Ted Williams' book, Charlie Lau, Rod Carew, Dusty Baker. I've read them all, and everybody talks about the same thing. You've got to get in a position so that your hands can work so your body can work.

"And that's what Barry Bonds does," Gwynn says. "He gets in position, he lets his hands go and, in letting his hands go, his body goes where it's supposed to go."


Gwynn was the consummate contact hitter during his 20 years in the majors, eight times the National League batting champion. The former San Diego Padres right fielder says the same swing principles APPLY to great home run and contact hitters.

"Once you make contact, it's whatever you are," Gwynn says. "Whatever type of hitter you are, that's what's going to come out. I'm not sitting here saying you're going to do the same things Barry Bonds does. But if you get to the proper position, whatever it is you do, you'll do it better.

"The key is to do it consistently every time, and he's the only one in the game who consistently does it. Ask any pitcher in major league baseball, 'Can you get in on him?' because he's right on top of the plate. The answer is no because he takes the knob of the bat to the ball and keeps his hands inside of the ball. When you try to bust him in, he pulls his hands inside the ball and that's why he doesn't pull the ball foul. He keeps it fair. He takes the knob first and pulls it through the zone. Everybody else wants to get the barrel head there, and they hook it foul."

Gwynn says the problem with trying to teach hitters the proper swing is they focus on the end result: Bonds' record 73 homers in 2001 and his 600-plus career home runs.

"They see the pose and they see how far the ball goes, instead of concentrating on seeing the actual mechanics."


Anatomy of a swing
Barry Bonds has 600-plus lifetime homers, a .430 on-base percentage with more than 1,230 extra-base hits. Here, eight-time National League batting champion Tony Gwynn analyzes his swing.

1. The thing that separates him from most other guys is his ability to do the same thing every time. The thing I've always noticed is that when he comes up, he gives a couple of bat pumps, and then he sets up the same way.

2. He's starting to get his timing mechanism down. There's a cocking of the bat as he lifts his front foot. His head is still. During the start of his swing, Bonds' head stays in the same position with little, if any, movement. The only motion is that his hands are starting to drop and he's starting to get cocked to get into position.

3. He's taken his hands, and he's raised them. He's taken them back to get into the hitting position, and the head has stayed exactly still. The bottom half of his body has moved, his hands have moved, but his head is still the same. After you get 1, 2 and 3 out of the way, here's where you separate the men from the boys.

4. As he's starting to bring the bat through the zone, he takes the bottom hand--the knob-of-the-bat hand--and starts to pull it through the zone. There isn't much arch in it when he starts to pull it through. It's not a downward pull. It's a pull right across his body. The more you can keep your hands inside the baseball, the better hitter you're going to be.

5. People have said you can't pull the bat through the zone on a flat plane and generate any pop. Well, I give you Barry Bonds, because that's exactly what he does. Every time. The top hand is going along for the ride. The palm is up. It's not going over the top.

6. His swing is flat through the zone. People talk about dropping the barrel of the bat on the ball. A lot of guys try to force the lower body through the zone. But all you have to do is get in a good position, take the bottom hand and pull it through the zone on a level plane, and the rest of it goes where it's supposed to go.



Bonds' swing: Spectacularly consistent
By Chuck Johnson, USA TODAY
By Lenny Ignelzi, AP
Barry Bonds' consistent swing has produced 594 career home runs.
Compact, quick, selective, smooth, explosive and sweet are some of the adjectives that describe the bat swing of Barry Bonds. But ask the San Francisco Giants' slugger about it, and that subject is off-limits. Like a gourmet chef with a secret recipe, Bonds is wary of giving away anything about how he keeps his bat cooking. The four-time National League MVP says he has never talked publicly about his swing and won't until after his career is over.


<br/><a href="http://oi29.tinypic.com/256fbkg.jpg" target="_blank">View Raw Image</a>


I'll add something positive about Bonds. He appears to have the highest WARP3 of any hitter in history:

Bonds - 236.4
Ruth - 227.8
Mays - 220.1
Aaron - 217.6
Wagner - 203.0
Cobb - 194.3
Musial - 191.5

Of the top 7, let's see their WARP3 numbers age 35 and after:

Bonds - 80.7 (34% of total WARP3)
Ruth - 49.7 (22%) 
Mays - 55.2 (25%)
Aaron - 47.3 (21%)
Wagner - 79.3 (39%)
Cobb - 40.9 (21%)
Musial - 43.2 (23%)

Looks like everyone put up similar impacts as they got older except for Wagner and Bonds.

Coaches Choice: The Pygmalion Effect or the Galatea Effect?


Interesting concepts for coaches or anyone that is involved in motivating a team or a group trying to achieve a common goal. Once again from The Talent Code.

from The Talent Code:
How Great Teachers See « The Talent Code:
Talent identification is the holy grail of sports, business, parenting, and education. We dream of having the magical ability to quickly and accurately assess who is destined to succeed; to sort the contenders from the pretenders.
Funny thing is, there was once a clever scientist who figured out how to do just that.
His name was Dov Eden; he was an Israeli psychologist who worked with businesses and the military. In the early 1980s Eden published a remarkable study that showed he could predict with uncanny precision which young recruits in the Israeli military would become top performers.
It worked like this: Eden studied the mental and physical aptitudes of one thousand recruits, then selected a handful of soldiers he labeled as “high potential.” Eden informed platoon commanders that they could “expect unusual achievements” from these individuals.
Sure enough, Eden was right. Over the next 11 weeks, Eden’s group performed significantly better than their peers — 9 percent higher on expertise tests and 10 percent higher on weapons evaluation.
It looked for all the world like an impressive display of talent identification — except that it wasn’t.
Because here’s the twist: the “high-potential” soldiers weren’t really high-potential. Eden had selected them completely at random. The real power was in the act of labeling them as high-potential. In sending a simple signal — these people are special.
That signal had created a massive effect in both the mind of the instructor and the learner — a virtuous spiral between teacher and learner that led to the full expression of potential. (The phenomenon, dubbed the Pygmalion Effect, has been repeated many times, and is particularly powerful in educational settings.)
'via Blog this'


I wonder if there are significant gender differences regarding which methodology is more effective. Anecdotally, I would say that the type of motivational cues that I hear coming from 3rd base coaching boxes in softball ( from women coaches) is more of the "We believe, you believe...." type versus baseball which is more "You have to believe in yourself..."


Perhaps I could be wrong there or over-generalizing but it seems to make sense that males and females would take different approaches to achieve a result. Not that there's anything wrong with that.


Galatea effect vs. Pygmalion effect

Difference Between Galatea Effect and Pygmalion Effect

The Galatea and Pygmalion effects are the two most important self-fulfilling prophecy theories. However, there lies a fundamental difference between them. The article to come will explain the subtle differences.
The Galatea and Pygmalion effects are two important management theories based on the power of expectations. The fundamental difference between the two theories is that the Galatea effect is based on an individual's expectations about himself, whereas the Pygmalion effect is based on the premise of people's expectations of others.

In Greek mythology, the name "Galatea" is lent to a statue that is carved of ivory by Pygmalion of Cyprus. Also, Polyphemus' object of desire in Theocritus' Idylls VI and XI is named Galatea, and again it has been associated with him in the myth of Acis and Galatea in Ovid’s Metamorphoses. Though there is an association of the name with Pygmalion’s statue, the connection sprang with a post-classical writer.

Galatea Effect

The Galatea effect is a phenomenon where people's own opinions about their ability and self-worth influence their performance. The Galatea effect is self-driven. It is that part of one's motivation that depends on self-expectations and self-worth. If an employee thinks that he can perform well, chances are that he will do well. If, in that situation, he receives positive encouragement from his superiors, it will only boost his confidence and will do wonders to his performance.

Pygmalion Effect

The Pygmalion, or Rosenthal effect refers to the phenomenon in which the higher the expectations placed on people -- often students, employees, children etc., the better is their execution of work. The Pygmalion effect is a form of self-fulfilling divination. It argues that by setting higher expectations for people (who come under a leader), the leader can motivate them to perform better. It was originally studied in context with a teacher's expectations of students. It was observed that the students, who were expected to do well did perform well, while the ones who weren't expected to perform well, did not.

As is told in Greek mythology, the effect gets its name after Pygmalion, a Cypriot sculptor, who fell in love with a female statue that was carved by him. This effect, as applied to the corporate world, was first described by J. Sterling Livingston in an article in the Harvard Business Review in 1988. "The way managers treat their subordinates is subtly influenced by what they expect of them," -- said Livingston in his article. One can summarize the Pygmalion effect as follows:

⇨ Every manager, or supervisor has certain expectations for his subordinates.
⇨ They convey their expectations to them consciously and unconsciously.
⇨ The subordinates get the message of what is expected of them.
⇨ They strive to perform and live up to the expectations of their manager.

The way managers treat their subordinates influences their performance. If a negative feedback is passed on to them, their performance may actually falter. Positive Pygmalion effects have a far-reaching effect on the employees. When managers put faith in the abilities of their subordinates, their morale and self-esteem increases, and hence, their performance gets better.

Galatea Effect Vs. Pygmalion Effect

Both the effects play an important role in increasing the productivity and personal development of each individual.

⇨ The primary difference between the Pygmalion and the Galatea effects is that the Pygmalion effect is based on the expectations of others while the Galatea effect is rooted in self-expectation.

⇨ In the Pygmalion effect, subordinates work towards meeting the expectations that are set by their superiors, whether or not these expectations are verbally or non-verbally expressed. In the Galatea effect, on the other hand, an individual sets expectations for himself or herself and strives to live up to it. In short, the Galatea effect is more powerful than the Pygmalion effect.

Most preferably, people should be driven by their faith in their abilities (the Galatea effect), but the Pygamlion effect is, in its own way, a useful ally in motivating people to give their best. It may not appeal to everyone, but can be considered while coaching or leading people.

By Jyoti Babel
Published: June 7, 2013
Read more at Buzzle: http://www.buzzle.com/articles/difference-between-galatea-effect-and-pygmalion-effect.html