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Thursday, February 19, 2015

Steamer Projections are in for the Giants - Pitchers and Catchers Report (Hallelujah!!)


I like the methodology and I can't argue against the results too much. Susac should be more a .250 guy than a .225 with occasional pop especially in a platoon role. If he played every day, maybe .225. It is tough to learn how to be a major league hitter at the major league level. The penalty of last year's battlefield promotion.

Not much to see among the bats. If Duvall could hit more in the .250 - .275 range he might get the start at 3B. His glove is still a question mark as well. Carbonell may still be a year or two away.


from MiLB.com
Prospect projections: Joc Pederson, Jon Gray among National League West rookies who could make an impact | MiLB.com News | The Official Site of Minor League Baseball:

 San Francisco Giants

HITTERS
GiantsPOSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGwOBAwRC+FldWAR
Andrew SusacC450112.224.304.355.297930.91.9
Matt Duffy2B600516.247.301.329.282841.50.5
Jarrett ParkerOF6001311.214.288.338.282830.00.3
Gary BrownOF600821.224.272.321.266725.90.1
Adam Duvall3B600214.222.273.384.29189-7.80.0
Kelby Tomlinson2B600228.206.262.264.240540.0-0.8
Angel Villalona1B600143.202.243.325.252630.0-1.9
Daniel CarbonellOF600912.206.240.293.238530.0-1.9
The Giants don't have a ton on the way when it comes to offensive prospects, but the players who should graduate this year fit remarkably well with San Francisco's roster.
In almost any other city, fans might be clamoring to get a look at Andrew Susac behind the dish. However, Buster Posey is going nowhere. That said, Posey has averaged only 115 games behind the plate the past three seasons, leaving room for Susac to play a couple times per week as his backup. Susac seems poised to thrive in that role after posting a .792 OPS in 35 big league games last year. He's solid behind the plate, and many young catchers benefit long-term from learning the intricacies of the position in the Majors while in backup roles. The 24-year-old could earn more playing time if he can learn to play first base or a corner outfield spot, but he doesn't have notable experience at any other position and may lack the athleticism for the outfield.
San Francisco graduated one promising middle infielder last year in Joe Panik. This year, Matt Duffy should do the same, albeit with a little less fanfare. Duffy lacks Panik's offensive upside, though the gap isn't that large. Conversely, Duffy is a sharper defender than Panik, capable of manning shortstop but with a skill set that translates best in a utility role. Panik and Brandon Crawford are both left-handed hitters, so the right-handed Duffy could step into a platoon role if either struggles to replicate last season's successes.


Among the pitchers, Steamer likes Strickland and so do I. A combination of "effective/selective" wildness and better mix of pitches should help his battle against "gopher-ballitis".  Cordier should get a look this year, he projects as perhaps Strickland with a wild streak. Cody Hall could help in middle relief this year as well.

The more highly touted starting pitching prospects look to slated for 2016 arrival according to Steamer and given the current roster construction, management seems to concur.

PITCHERS
GiantsWLERAGSGIPHRWHIPK/9BB/9FIPWAR
Hunter Strickland432.490656541.0610.02.32.660.8
Cody Hall333.210656551.218.73.03.350.2
Erik Cordier333.200656541.2610.44.33.290.1
Ty Blach11144.493232200211.385.22.94.41-0.2
Clayton Blackburn443.820656561.267.32.73.81-0.2
Ray Black333.620656561.298.03.43.73-0.2
Steven Okert333.670656561.337.73.63.86-0.3
Derek Law333.830656561.337.43.53.92-0.3
Brett Bochy333.930656561.357.23.64.05-0.3
Adalberto Mejia444.250656571.376.43.34.20-0.6
Braulio Lara334.330656571.477.24.64.55-0.6
Kyle Crick354.560656561.528.95.94.33-0.7
Chris Heston344.300656561.376.33.24.23-0.7
Chris Stratton344.550656571.446.94.24.40-0.7
Joan Gregorio354.800656571.486.04.14.67-1.0
Nik Turley355.580656591.675.55.55.85-1.2
Beyond Strickland, Steamer thinks Erik Cordier and Cody Hall are promising bullpen options. Cordier reached the Majors last year, posting a 1.50 ERA over six innings and averaging 99.2 mph on his fastball. Hall, meanwhile, pitched out of the 'pen at Double-A, compiling a 3.14 ERA with more than a strikeout per inning.
A number of the team's top starting pitching prospects also workhed at Double-A last season, including Kyle Crick, Adalberto Mejia, Ty Blach, Clayton Blackburn, Chris Stratton and Derek Law. Steamer doesn't think any of that crew is ready for the Major League rotation, though.

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