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Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Fastball-changeup interplay featuring Jacob deGrom - Beyond the Box Score



I remember deGrom just mowing down the Giants one game last year and now, thanks to the latest whiz-bang technology and sabermetrics, I can see why both visually and graphically. Great stuff.

from Beyond the Box Score:
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2015/3/27/8297039/fastball-changeup-interplay-with-jacob-degrom-mets-mlb-pitchfx

One element of the fastball-changeup interplay is the velocity difference. deGrom's velocity difference between his four-seam fastball and changeup according to Baseball Savant's numbers: 9.7. It's 9.8 by Brooks' numbers. deGrom has the velocity difference covered.

Another element is the release point. If hitters can tell which pitch is coming based on where the release point is, then there won't be much deception. deGrom has the release point stuff covered. Here is a Tableau screenshot of deGrom's average release points for his four-seam fastball, sinker, and changeup.

degrom release point

All three of them are basically on top of each other. So, when deGrom is at that release point, the hitter can't tell if it will be a fastball or a changeup. deGrom has the deception part covered.

Overall, deGrom has the fastball-changeup interplay covered. He throws them from the same release point and can locate each pitch in the same place, but the velocity differential and vertical movement appear to play havoc with opposing hitters. I would imagine the deception plays a role in his changeup's markedly higher swing rate compared to other right-handed pitchers' changeups. deGrom's curve might be the better pitch in terms of making hitters miss when they actually swing, but his changeup has the highest whiff rate of his whole arsenal. The fastball-changeup interplay can make an unremarkable pitch on its own into something rather remarkable.

Sent from my iPhone

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