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Monday, May 25, 2015

Meet the new Timmy



His 162-game average year for the Giants is 14-11,  3.54 ERA a .565 winning percentage according to Baseball Reference. He has earned every bit of the $99M the team has paid him plus signing bonus. A .565 winning percentage across the board gives the team a 90 win season.

That's far fewer sliders (24 percent versus 14 percent) and far more splitters (16 versus 25), plus a few extra curves mixed in (seven versus 12). The increase in splitters, another ground-ball pitch, in particular makes sense with Lincecum's apparent change in approach. You can see all of those numbers in table form here.
The more-grounders-fewer-strikeouts philosophy shows itself in the results, in addition to the process. Lincecum has a career-high 50.4 percent ground-ball rate (not to mention a career-low 18.8 percent line-drive rate) and is striking out a career-low 6.8 batters per nine innings.
from baseball-reference.com

Salaries



  
Salaries may not be complete (especially pre-1985) and may not include some earned bonuses
YearAgeTeamSalaryServTm(OpnDay)SourcesNotes/Other Sources
200824San Francisco Giants$405,000?
200925San Francisco Giants$650,000?
201026San Francisco Giants$9,000,0002.148
201127San Francisco Giants$14,000,0003.148
201228San Francisco Giants$18,000,0004.148contracts
201329San Francisco Giants$22,000,0005.148contracts
201430San Francisco Giants$17,000,0006.148contracts
201531San Francisco Giants$18,000,0007.148
2015 StatusSigned thru 2015Earliest Free Agent: 2016
Career to date (may be incomplete)$99,055,000

No doubt Timmy will put the franchise in a tight spot deciding whether to bring him back for four or five years. If you told me he could replicate the 14-11 pace for the next five year as he transitions from power pitcher to finesse pitcher, I would do it.

Do I think you could get him back at 4years / $55M?
Yes.
Would it be a bit of a gamble given that he has barely been over .500 since 2010?
Yes.
Would I still do it.
Yes.

But it's not my money.

It has taken Timmy a bit more time to make the transition (any more than Barry Zito?) that the change in his stuff has forced upon him, but he's doing it on the fly. Like trying to jump on a moving train. Sometimes it's going to look ugly. Sometimes it never happens for a guy. I think Timmy makes it happen and has a rebirth. I would like the Giants to be in on that. He's moving up the career Giants charts in some of the more important pitching stats, passing names like "King" Carl Hubbell. He's a fan favorite. If you burn some money here, to me, it hurts less than burning it on McGehee, DeRosa and Company.

Again, not my money, but it's never too early to start beating the drums.

BRING TIMMY BACK!!!


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