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Monday, June 08, 2015

Last and (hopefully) final mock draft


I like the "Wisdom of the crowd" methodology and the picks are entirely reasonable for now. If nobody goes off and flips the table, the Giants would pick up Nikorak, Allard or Bickford with the first and either Nolan Watson (new name) or Donny Everett or Nick Plummer, who these guys now see as being available with the compensation pick.

How quickly things change in a week. It all gets put to bed beginning tonight as organizations step to the mike and make their picks. The fans can then feel like kids unwrapping new presents on Christmas Day.

Parents know only too well the post-Christmas expectations and euphoria that turns to childish whining when the kids are expecting the latest Donny Everett toy that they asked Santa for and the parents gift-wrap them a surprise Nolan Watson model because the local stores apparently ran out of Donny Everett's. Stupid Santa!!!

There's going to be plenty of that gnashing of teeth in the aftermath of tonight's picks. So buckle up boys and girls. I'll be happy as long as the Giants don't gift-wrap a pair of socks for their fans. Or a Garry Brown/Wendell Fairley clone.  They wouldn't do that, would they?


Nolan Watson | Rank: 61

School: Lawrence North HS (Ind.)Year: SeniorPosition: RHPAge: 18 DOB: 1/25/1997Bats: R Throws: RHeight: 6'2" Weight: 200 lb.
Commitment: Vanderbilt
VIDEO
Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 55 | Curveball: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 50 | Overall: 50
The EvoShield Canes won the World Wood Bat Association World Championship, the last major event on the showcase circuit, thanks to a loaded mound corps that included three high school pitchers who could get taken in the first round of the 2015 Draft: Ashe Russell, Dakota Chalmers and Beau Burrows. Watson also was a member of that staff, and he looked like he belonged in their class when he made his first start of his senior season.
On that April day, Watson carried a 92-95 mph fastball into the sixth inning. He backed it up with a solid slider and demonstrated feel for a curveball and changeup as well. He wasn't as spectacular in subsequent starts but still showed enough to merit going in the second or third round.
Watson has an easy delivery and his athleticism allows him to repeat it well, resulting in consistent strikes. He's committed to Vanderbilt, which could make him difficult to sign if he isn't picked early in the Draft.


MLB Mock Draft 2015: Predictions and slot values for every 1st-round pick
http://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/774987

Our mock, which features the first 26 picks and 10 compensation slots, is a product of industry buzz, prospect analysis, and general consensus from three of the most prominent talent evaluators in the country:ESPN's Keith LawBaseball America's John Manuel, and FanGraphs' Kiley McDaniel.

Major League Baseball's First-Year Player Draft (Monday, June 8, 7 p.m. ET) is an especially tough one to predict, with signing bonuses and slot value allotment playing a critical role in determining player selection. Those figures, courtesy of Baseball America, are listed below for each slot, with the club's spending cap for the first 315 picks included in parenthesis.

18. San Francisco Giants - Mike Nikorak, RHP, Stroudsburg HS (Pa.)
Slot Value: $2,333,800 ($7,515,500)
The former all-conference quarterback throws an effortless mid- to high-90s fastball and is among the more projectable arms in the class.

19. Pittsburgh Pirates - Kolby Allard, LHP, San Clemente HS (Calif.)
Slot Value: $2,273,800 ($7,392,200)
Allard's considered by many to be this year's top lefty prep pitcher, and could emerge as a value pick if a recent stress fracture in his back causes his stock to tumble on draft day.

20. Oakland Athletics - Phil Bickford, RHP, Southern Nevada
Slot Value: $2,214,000 ($5,444,100)
Explosive fastball and a major league ready frame. Good fit for an Athletics club trying to rebuild its farm system quickly.


Compensation picks: The following 10 teams will receive first-round compensation as a result of extending qualifying offers to 2014 free agents who signed with another club. Table includes the projected pick and respective slot value.


NO.TEAMSLOT VALUEPICKPOS.COMPENSATION
27COL$2.00MMichael Matuella (Duke)RHPMichael Cuddyer
28ATL$1.97MAshe Russell (HS)RHPErvin Santana
29TOR$1.94MRichie Martin (Florida)SSMelky Cabrera
30NYY$1.91MDonnie Dewees (North Florida)OFDavid Robertson
31SF$1.88MNolan Watson (HS)RHPPablo Sandoval
32PIT$1.85MDonny Everett (HS)RHPRussell Martin
33KC$1.82MNate Kirby (Virginia)LHPJames Shields
34DET$1.79MNick Plummer (HS)OFMax Scherzer
35LAD$1.76MCody Ponce (Cal Poly-Pomona)RHPHanley Ramirez
36BAL$1.71MJacob Nix (IMG Academy)RHPNelson Cruz

The San Diego Padres (51st), New York Mets (53rd), Washington Nationals (58th), and Seattle Mariners (60th) are the only teams without a first-round pick.

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