Stat of the Week: Who will throw the next No-Hitter? | ACTA Sports

If you can get a match up of any two of the pitchers on this list, it becomes must-watch TV. We had King Felix vs. MadBum the other night and it did not disappoint. Bumgarner was obviously geeked up, tossing 95 MPH a couple of times and Hernandez was as sharp as a tack.

Maybe another Bummer vs. Kershaw match up when the Giants pass through LA?

Vogelsong looked sharp with the fastball last night, some 93's with great command, hitting his spots well. He needed that to solidify his spot as # 4 or #5 starter with Cain/Peavy due back. Allegedly.

Archived Stat of the Week | ACTA Sports: 

Who Will Throw the Next No-Hitter? June 11, 2015

Two nights ago, Chris Heston threw the first no-hitter of the 2015 season. It was an impressive game, with Heston striking out 11 Mets hitters and getting 13 more to ground out, one for a double play. There were only two flyball outs. According to Baseball Info Solutions’ (BIS) Range and Positioning System, there were only two balls put into play that had a higher than 50 percent chance of being a base hit: a groundball hit by Ruben Tejada in the seventh inning and a groundball hit by Wilmer Flores in the eighth. However, both were easily turned into outs because Brandon Belt was well positioned, playing deep into the hole between first and second base. In fact, every play the Giants made on defense was easy. The video scouts at BIS rate the difficulty of every ball in play on a 1-5 scale, with 1 being routine and 5 being impossible, and there was not a single play given a higher rating than a 2 during that game. So now that the first no-hitter of 2015 is out of the way, who is going to throw the next one? Every year in the Bill James Handbook, we publish a list of the most likely pitchers to throw a no-hitter during the upcoming season in the Career Targets section of the book. The system for determining the likelihood of throwing a no-hitter is based on a pitcher’s projected games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, hits allowed, and double plays induced. Here are the most likely no-hitter candidates from the 2015 Bill James Handbook: Most Likely No-Hitter, 2015 Player Chance of No-hitter Clayton Kershaw, LAN 25% Chris Sale, CHA 23% Stephen Strasburg, WAS 21% Corey Kluber, CLE 20% Max Scherzer, WAS 20% Yu Darvish, TEX 18% Felix Hernandez, SEA 18% David Price, DET 16% Madison Bumgarner, SF 15% Zack Wheeler, NYN 15% This list obviously includes the best and biggest arms in baseball. While pitchers like Chris Heston can sneak up on us with a no-hitter, the household names are still the guys that are most likely to achieve the feat

'via Blog this'