I just finished updating the Giants minor league prospects statistical profiles and there were some real surprises throughout the organization. We'll start with the pitchers and finish up with the hitters in a separate post. The surprise is that, much like the Giants 21st century track record (shown above), the Giants have not done as bad a job as advertised and the system isn't as barren as some would have you believe, even after the recent deals.
Let's start with the starting pitchers:
- Tyler Beede is Chris Stratton which is to say an iffy bet to give solid, consistent starts, based on their prior performance and statistical profile.
- Chris Stratton is a fringe prospect at best, flashes a good start here and there, but we had guys do that to death in 2017 and it leads to a 64-98 record.
- Sam Wolff, who was just picked up from TX in the Matt Moore deal, is a tepid prospect, but his statistical profile appears to be a bit better that Stratton and Beede, if that tells you anything. I almost puked.
- Ty Blach is solid. Solid as a rock.
- Andrew Suarez is Ty Blach, with a chance to be better. Great pitch-ability, great consistency. Solid if unspectacular, and another lefty. Lefties are Dodger killers so, you know......<3 li="">
- Shaun Anderson is a SOLID pickup from the Red Sox for Edwin Nunez. It wouldn't surprise me if he contributes solidly in the near future. He's starting in the minors but has closed for University of Florida.
- D.J. Snelten is a SOLID prospect and it wouldn't surprise me if he contributes in a big way out of the bullpen. Hopefully in 2018.
- Sam Coonrod has fallen off the radar.
- Garrett Williams is a favorite of many, I think it's a borderline case right now and behind the others mentioned earlier.
At the major league level, a lot revolves around Derek Law getting his head straight. I don't think his arm or his stuff are at issue. He seems to differ on pitch selection more than most, so the Giants need to get him on the same page and move forward or part ways.
Steven Okert needs to get the stars out of his eyes and just pitch. His stuff is good enough.
Those two only elevate the bullpen. Law had the makings of a future closer and ended up in the minors. If he doesn't come through, Reyes Moronta looks ready to step in and be the guy. Julian Fernandez, Sam Wollf and Kyle Crick round out the back end of the bullpen. In the future, watch out for Garret Cave from the University of Tampa. Just a hunch and based on a small sample size, but keep an eye out.
I wouldn't be too heart-broken over a 2018 starting rotation of:
Bumgarner LHP
Cueto RHP
Blach LHP
Samardzija RHP
Suarez LHP
I know many would prefer Stratton and/or Beede in there instead of Blach and Suarez. I don't mind two or three out of five LHP's. Stratton looked like he was getting things together late last year, so hopefully the trend continues and in that case Suarez challenges Blach for the final spot.
+ Propsects: Andrew Suarez, D.J. Snelten, Reyes Moronta, Shaun Anderson, and Garret Williams
I am high on Derek Law bouncing back, Okert getting his act together and Ty Blach continuing to produce. If Moronta and Okert contribute, it adds length and versatility to the bullpen.
?? Prospects: Julian Fernandez, Sam Wollf
Fernandez probably goes back to the Rockies unless he flashes over his prior profile
in spring training. I don't know how they clog a roster spot on a ??
- Prospects: Tyler Beede, Chris Stratton, Kyle Crick, Sam Coonrod
I'd like to be wrong on Beede and/or Stratton, but.....I just don't see it based on performance and their statistical profiles, which flash AVERAGE prospect, but the expectations are PREMIUM prospect.
The hitters are up next. Some pleasant surprises there as well, and some of the SOSDD kind of stuff.
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