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Friday, May 18, 2018

Debunking Fake News in a Post-Truth Era: The Plausible Untruths of Cost... - Academia.edu



Welcome to my world boys, you're preaching to the choir.

Flyvbjerg, Holm, and Buhl attribute the cause of cost underestimation in transport infrastructure projects to delusion (optimism bias) and deception (strategic misrepresentation). The bifurcation of the cost underestimation problem into error or lie presents a false dichotomy - an either/or choice that is invalid when..
Been going down like this for a long time, where you boys been? It's called BS (bull-shit) and it's been greasing the wheels of politics since the beginning of time. If they told the truth, people wouldn't trust them to run a Popsicle stand (or write a blog).

Academics usually don't get angry like this, makes them look like bloggers.

P.S. - I love the wording of the title "plausible untruths". That's exactly how they fool most of the people, just enough plausibility and we serfs will buy the BS.


Academia.edu
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Dominic Ahiaga-Dagbui Dominic Ahiaga-Dagbui
Deakin UniversityArchitecture and Built Environment, Faculty Member

The methodology, analysis, and the unfounded conclusions presented in the paper "Underestimating costs in public works projects: error or lie?" by Flyvbjerg, Holm, and Buhl (2002), published in the Journal of the American Planning Association are critically questioned. Flyvbjerg, Holm, and Buhl attribute the cause of cost underestimation in transport infrastructure projects to delusion (optimism bias) and deception (strategic misrepresentation). The bifurcation of the cost underestimation problem into error or lie presents a false dichotomy - an either/or choice that is invalid when...
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