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Thursday, July 30, 2015

Bay Area BBWAA for/against Bonds - Bonds wins in court of law, will lose in court of public opinion


A. R. Cassidy, "Justice Hurling a Bomb"
Engraving, Graphic News
June 5, 1886

http://www.chicagohistory.org/dramas/act3/courtOfPublicOpinion/justiceStrikesBack_f.htm
Here a determined female figure representing the state and standing on what appears to be an anarchist flag or banner seems to behave like a stereotypical anarchist. She hurls a fizzing bomb labeled "law" at the fleeing crowd. While at least two men carry guns, this "mob" looks more like middle-class Chicagoans than working people. In the upper right is an uncannily prophetic vision of the actual police monument that would be unveiled three years later.

Recently there have been some murmurs that perhaps Bonds and Clemens should be "allowed" in the Hall of Fame if for no other reason than, especially in Bonds' case, they were fairly certain to be HOF'ers before they started failing the "eyeball" test. 

Many are worried that if Piazza and his "back-ne" are allowed in, then it would be silly to exclude Bonds, Clemens and certainly Jeff Bagwell. Palmeiro may be the only one in trouble for having wagged his finger at Congress and then failing a drug test. Maybe he should be in the Stupid Hall of Fame. 

from wikipedia:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Court_of_public_opinion
  1. Trying cases in the court of public opinion refers to using the news media to influence public support for one side or the other in a courtcase. This can result in persons outside the justice system (i.e. people other than the judge or jury) taking action for or against a party.



Sosa and McGwire get in IMO as well. If Judge Kenesaw "Mountain" Landis is in for "saving" baseball after the Black Sox scandal,  then Sosa and McGwire deserve to be in as well. They brought the game back when it was tetering on the brink of irrelevancy after the owners canceled the World Series. They should consider themselves lucky that after the "fell good" effect of the Cal Ripken milestone passed, something started the turnstiles humming again. And it was "the Long Ball". 

Anyone care to put a number on how much each owner or franchise has pocketed in revenue to say nothing of the cumulative franchise value increases due largely in part to the HR chase? Billions, approaching trillions, I would guess. 


I watched a lot of this last night. Who knows what they'll decide but I would be surprised if the conviction is not overturned; that certainly seemed to be the way the judges were heading with their questions (and they sort of scoffed and laughed their way through the questioning of the government's attorney). They gave the government's attorney a very hard time. The judges were incredulous that Bonds could be convicted of obstruction after ultimately answering the question. (The government tried to argue that he rambled with an ill purpose, i.e., to evade the question, but this argument flies out the window once you realize that he then answered the bleeping question after he was asked it again. Plus it's the lawyer's job to get a rambling witness back on point. Along with several other reasons why the government is in bad shape here.)

The judges were also displeased that the initial indictment did not even set forth that Bonds was going to be tried for obstruction on this particular sequence. The judges brought up the delicious irony that he was convicted of being evasive but the government was evasive in indicting him in that they didn't even tell him in the initial indictment that he would be tried for this. Also one judge made the statement that if this were obstruction then "most or all of the bar who practices civil litigation and responds to interrogatories with evasive answers would be in prison for obstruction."

So, to recap: A $100 million witch hunt of Bonds and Clemens, and Clemens was acquitted and now it appears for all the world that the tiny sliver of "victory" the government had for getting a conviction on just one of the many perjury and obstruction counts against Bonds -- and a bogus conviction at that -- will be thrown out.

The only thing the judges have yet to comment on is the yawn-inducing question of whether Bonds will now get Andy's imaginary Hall of Fame vote.


People have forgotten how dominant Bonds was in this game prior to 1999 and how many MVP awards he should have won. Terry Pendleton my ass. He should have won it over Barry Larkin in 1995 as well and Caminiti in 1996. Nothing going on over there, right? And you can make a case that in 1998 he should have bested Sammy Sosa. That would have been 7 MVP's from 1990-1998 and you can check his "physique" out and see if the passes the drug test du jour any more than Sosa. 

Voters  Avg  HR  RBI  WAR   WAR Winner  Avg  HR  RBI  WAR
1988 Gibson .290 25 76 6.47 B.Butler .287 6 43 6.811989 Mitchell .291 45 125 6.91 L. Smith .315 21 79 8.791990 Bonds .301 33 114 9.73 Bonds1991 Pendleton .319 22 86 6.11 Bonds .292 43 116 7.931992 Bonds .311 34 103 9.04 Bonds1993 Bonds .336 46 123 9.89 Bonds1994 Bagwell .368 39 116 8.16 Bagwell1995 Larkin .319 15 66 5.9 Bonds .294 33 104 7.471996 Caminiti .326 40 130 7.54 Bonds .308 42 129 9.681997 Walker .366 49 130 9.81 Walker1998 Sosa .308 66 158 6.43 Bonds .303 37 122 8.061999 C. Jones .319 45 110 6.87 Bagwell .304 42 126 7.382000 Kent .334 33 125 7.17 Helton .372 42 147 8.862001 Bonds .328 73 137 11.88 Bonds2002 Bonds .370 46 110 11.78 Bonds2003 Bonds .341 45 90 9.16 Bonds2004 Bonds .362 45 101 10.65 Bonds2005 Pujols .330 41 117 8.39 Pujols2006 Howard .313 58 149 5.19 Pujols .331 49 137 8.452007 Rollins .296 30 94 6.07 Pujols .327 32 103 8.742008 Pujols .357 37 116 9.19 Pujols2009 Pujols .327 47 135 9.71 Pujols2010 Votto .324 37 113 7.16 Pujols .312 42 118 7.512011 Braun .332 33 111 7.83 Kemp .324 39 126 8.132012 Posey .336 24 103 7.38 Posey


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