Thursday, July 02, 2015

Giants sign infielder Fox as int'l free agent | sfgiants.com (I call BS on the International part though)



First let me preface that I'm glad the Giants got him and the Dodgers didn't, but the system stinks to high heaven.

If I'm Jalen Miller, the Giants 3rd rounder, who was a higher regarded high-school SS prospect who didn't have the benefit of some foreign country background in his past where he could dosie-do out of the June draft and into the International Draft, I am pissed off today.

This signing is everything that was wrong with the International signing system, which I have previously railed about, and then some new wrinkles thrown in.

  • How does an American kid for all intents and purposes get MLB approval to circumvent the system and gin up a higher bonus? He played in America, went to HS in America, he doesn't fit the previous prevailing definition of an International player. 
  • Why doesn't MLB put these teams who are ignoring and flouting the penalties listed in the current system on notice that any penalties accrued will be transferred in some fashion to the next system? 
This latest signing and others before it seem to indicate that teams are under the impression that they should take the penalty now and sign the player,  because the penalties go bye-bye under the new system. This is contributing perversely to a further spiral and a further inequity to the American player versus the International player and makes a mockery of a system that's already a joke to start with.

C'mon Man!!!
Image result for sham mockery


Fine them all, or adjust their bonus slots, or take away future draft picks if necessary to all the teams involved and that includes the Giants. There shouldn't be a system that discriminates against American kids versus their International counterparts. Level the playing field.

Other than that, I'm OK with the signing, although from the YouTube above his actions both on the field and AB look a little stiff and mechanical, not very fluid. Is this what $6M buys these days or is there some sort of currency conversion rate that I'm not taking into account?

from sfgiants.com
Giants sign infielder Fox as int'l free agent | sfgiants.com:
The Giants are on the verge of adding another athletic infielder to their Minor League system, coming to terms with shortstop Lucius Fox of the Bahamas on a bonus of $6 million, according to industry sources.
Fox, who turned 18 today, ranked No. 3 on MLB.com's Top 30 International Prospects list.
A press conference to announce Fox's signing is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET in the Bahamas.
The Giants also agreed to sign catcher Ricardo Genoves of Venezuela for $550,000. The club has not confirmed the agreements.
In accordance with the Collective Bargaining Agreement, each team is allotted a $700,000 base and a bonus pool with four slot values based on the team's record in 2014 for the international signing period, which started Thursday. The Giants' overall pool total for this year's signing period is $ 2,130,900.
Fox's signing would send the Giants into the penalty. He had been linked to the Dodgers for several months and was expected to sign for an estimated $4 million.
Teams that exceed the pools by 0 to 5 percent have to pay 100 percent tax, and teams that exceed the pools by 5 to 10 percent are not allowed to sign a player for more than $500,000 during the next signing period and also have to pay a 100 percent tax on the pool overage. Teams that exceed the pools by 10 to 15 percent are not allowed to sign a player for more than $300,000 during the next signing period and have to pay a 100 percent tax on the pool overage.
In the most severe penalty, teams that exceed the pool by 15 percent or more are not allowed to sign a player for more than $300,000 during the next two signing periods, in addition to paying a 100 percent tax on the pool overage.
Fox grew up in the Bahamas and played high school baseball in the United States. He eventually participated in showcases such as the Perfect Game National and the East Coast Pro Showcase. On defense, Fox is a sure-handed fielder with quick actions, and he has a strong enough arm to keep him at shortstop. He can also play second base. On offense, he's known for his ability to put the ball in play, and he can spray the ball to all fields.
'via Blog this'

Matt Cain returns after twelve month layoff

Image result for matt cain returns


This is the perfect remedy to remove the bad taste of the last two games in Miami. Matt Cain versus Jose Fernandez in The Rehab Bowl. Plus it doesn't get much better than a nooner in Miami, I tell 'ya. We shall see which of the two aces on the mend comes back closer to form.

from LA Times:
Marlins' Jose Fernandez returns to action against Giants and Matt Cain - LA Times:

The NL rookie of the year at 21 in 2013, Fernandez was the Marlins' opening-day starter last year, but his ascent was interrupted by an elbow ligament injury that required reconstructive surgery. He won't be the only pitcher making a comeback Thursday — his opponent, Giants right-hander Matt Cain, will start for the first time since July 2014.
'via Blog this'

It's good to see Fernandez back as well. Between him and the Mets Matt Harvey, I don't know of two more exciting pitching prospects to hit the league recently. Except maybe the Mets Noah Syndegaard....and maybe the Mets Steven Matz....Hey wait a minute, shouldn't the Mets be less of the Mutts with all this good pitching? IDK, maybe that's why they are still the Mutts.

Anyway, it's a pitcher's league now, that much is clear. Not a day goes by it seems that my iPhone isn't updated with some pitcher or another pitching a no-hitter through six innings or more....and that includes games from outside the greater Tampa Bay area. What's up with that Rays?

Welcome back Matt Cain!! It's been too long.


Image result for matt cain in lineup

Buster Posey Injury: Updates on Giants Star's Status and Return | Bleacher Report


OK, good news on the Posey front. So I should be happy, right? Wrong!!

from Bleacher Report:
http://m.bleacherreport.com/articles/2378557-buster-posey-injury-updates-on-giants-stars-status-and-return
San Francisco Giants catcher Buster Posey returned to the lineup on July 2 after taking a liner off his catcher's mask on July 1 against the Miami Marlins, according to Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle. Posey passed his concussion test and didn't return because he didn't want to risk another blow.

Sent from my iPhone

I love Bleacher Report, I have the app on my iPhone. But seriously, are there no editors at Bleacher Report? Is there no requirement to have basic knowledge of the team/sport you are covering before you start cranking out stories? At least to establish some credibility? Seriously, who refers to a "foul-tip" off the mask as a "liner off the catcher's mask". Maybe young girls who are just learning the game? I almost threw up in my coffee and that was after reading the good news about Posey.

Also, this was written and posted prior to the game, which just started as I write this so, unless your writing this in the future, Buster Posey is "scheduled" to return to the lineup on July 2nd.

Get a little editorial control over the product there Bleacher Report.


Call me a worry wart all you want...

Image result for catcher concussion rate

It was only two days ago that I said this about the potential injury risk to Posey.

http://slavieboy.blogspot.com/2015/06/former-giants-prospect-giving-up.html
You can call me a "worry-wart" all you want, I worry about the Giants facing this with Posey some day and with Susac's development, I'm not sure why you continue taking the risk too much longer. 
...and now this.....

from mercurynews.com
http://blogs.mercurynews.com/giants/2015/07/01/casilla-serves-up-walk-off-home-run-giants-thoughts-turn-to-posey-after-sudden-defeat-in-miami/
Instead, Heston took no decision. The Gians fell to 37-2 when leading after eight innings. And the immediate concern was Posey, who made a lengthy mound visit after Marcell Ozuna fouled back a curveball in the second inning. The team did not acknowledge whether Posey had concussion symptoms, but they are all too familiar with them. It was here in Miami, in a stadium 25 miles north of Marlins Park, where Mike Matheny played his last major league game after taking an innocent-looking foul off the mask.

I heard a podcast with former player Brian Johnson talking about this very issue (wish I could find the link) and he said the Giants feel that Posey's value as a catcher is worth the risk and how Joe Mauer's numbers as a 1B diminished and made him somehow less valuable to the Twins than if he had remained a C.

Remember Matheny. Sometimes the number go to zero. If you lose Posey's 20-90-.300 slash line from your lineup entirely because you're trying to protect the incremental advantage of him being a premium bat at the catcher position versus a "dime a dozen" bat from a productivity standpoint plus whatever his pitch calling and framing gives you, then you are taking a serious gamble with the future of the franchise.

The Giants have dodged some bullets in the past and some have found their mark (remember why the Posey Rule was implemented). I'm just saying if Susac is a valid alternative, this debate can be re-visited on an annual basis as far as I'm concerned.  

from grantland.com
http://grantland.com/features/mlb-catcher-concussions-home-plate-collisions-rule/

 In September 2011, Tigers catcher Alex Avila was hit so hard by a foul tip that his mask produced sparks:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SswaGjRtB24

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FuaMMkiwPcU

Both on the broadcast and in the stadium, the sparks were treated like slapstick, a chance for a little light humor. An announcer chuckled; the PA played “Ring My Bell.” Now, it’s hard to watch that video without wondering whether Avila’s brain smacked against his skull when those sparks were produced.1

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Extra Baggs: A questionable delivery, etc. - Giants Extra (ya' think?)


I agree that Lincecum in his heyday was out in front but not as blatant as this "quasi crow-hop/leap". Since we're batting around girls softball terms, isn't it appropriate that the answer comes from the softball standard for illegal pitches (as shown below)?

I'm not sure the Lincecum comparison is valid, all power pitcher push off the rubber somewhat and anyway lately Lincecum's problem has been not slipping and falling off the rubber, so there you go.

from thecompletepitcher.com
http://www.thecompletepitcher.com/images/clip_image020_0001.jpg

Tim Lincecum pitching clip

" It's all right, It's OK. You're going to get hit by a come-backer some day. "  Then it will be a safety issue instead.

Capps confused them by being a bit of a hybrid between the two illegal pitches. It's that initial hop / leap? forward that probably shouldn't be allowed. Umpires should have employed the Supreme Court definition of pornography standard "Can't define it, but you know it when you see it" rather than the girls softball standard "It's OK as long as you drag the toe".  We can all learn from each other. They are just so precious at this age. Capps isn't really dragging his toe until the first landing after the first leap, but WDIK?


from Mercurynews.com
Extra Baggs: Giants survive a rough June, McGehee's exit interview, a questionable delivery, etc. - Giants Extra:

Marlins right-hander Carter Capps has as unorthodox delivery as you’ll see in the major leagues. It’s plenty deceptive, too. But is it legal?
Bochy said he and the coaches looked into it and there was nothing to challenge. Capps isn’t the only pitcher who leaps off the rubber and grounds his back foot before releasing the ball. Jordan Walden does something similar.
A Triple-A umpire called two automatic balls on Capps in April, and after that, the Marlins sought clarification from Major League Baseball. Officials told Capps that he couldn’t leap so high and had to try to drag his toe a little more. I guess he’s complying now, since he is pitching without any interference.
If you look back at early Tim Lincecum starts, his back foot often was way in front of the rubber when he released the ball. It was less noticeable because he was dragging a toe.
So apparently, the neighborhood play works when it comes to pitching, too. Not that hitters will agree that it’s fair.
“I mean, he’s throwing a foot and a half closer than most people,” said Buster Posey, who joined Matt Duffy and Brandon Belt in striking out against Capps. “It’s a timing thing. You’re used to (seeing pitchers) push off and release the ball, and there’s a hesitation in between for him. From what everybody was saying, they ruled it legal. So you’ve got to go up and do your best against it.”
'via Blog this'



http://www.pitchsoftball.com/page3.html
In their rulebooks, the USSSA, ASA, etc. offer essentially the same definitions for "crow hopping":
          ASA - "A crow hop is defined as the act of a pitcher who steps, hops, or drags off the
          Front of the pitcher's plate, replants the pivot foot, establishing a second impetus
          (or starting point), pushes off from the newly-established starting point and
          and completes the delivery."
           And the ASA rulebook also states:
          "Pushing off with the pivot foot from a place other than the pitcher's plate is illegal."
          USSSA -  "A crow hop is the replanting of the pivot foot prior to delivery of the pitch." 
           Additionally, under USSSA Pitching Rules: 
         "Pushing off with the pivot foot from a place other than the pitcher's plate is illegal. 
          NOTE 1: It is not a step if the pitcher slides (her) foot in any direction on the pitcher's plate,
          provided contact is maintained.
          NOTE 2: Techniques such as the "crow hop" and "the leap" are illegal."



San Francisco Giants 2015 Draft Results | SFGiants.com: Team




It's early, but here is where we are as far as signing the picks. The Giants usually do not leave any of the 1-10 Rounders on the table. When that happens, it could be a sign of either a miscommunication with the talent on Draft Day or a budgetary gambit that went bad. Giants shouldn't have a problem in either category based on recent history and reputation.

I worry most about potentially losing Miller since he has the most leverage, He could go to college and take his chances on getting drafted higher down the road. Boy this team likes big-bodied RHP's. Just stockpiling them!!

from SFGiants.com
San Francisco Giants 2015 Draft Results | SFGiants.com: Team:

San Francisco Giants 2015 Draft Selections

A listing of the San Francisco Giants's 2015 draft picks
NamePosB/THtWtDOBRoundPick #Signed
Phil BickfordRHPR / R6' 5"20507/10/199511806/27/2015
Christopher Shaw1BL / R6' 3"22910/20/199313106/26/2015
Andrew SuarezLHPL / L6' 2"18509/11/1992261Unsigned
Jalen MillerSSR / R5' 10"17312/19/1996395Unsigned
Mac MarshallLHPR / L6' 0"18101/27/19964126Unsigned
Ronnie JebavyCFR / R6' 2"19505/17/1994515606/15/2015
Steven DuggarCFL / R6' 1"17011/04/1993618606/20/2015
Jose Vizcaino3BR / R6' 3"20004/05/1994721606/15/2015
Cory TaylorRHPR / R6' 2"25012/14/1993824606/26/2015
David GraybillRHPR / R6' 5"24405/03/19939276Unsigned
Tyler CyrRHPR / R6' 3"20505/05/19931030606/28/2015
C.J. HinojosaSSR / R5' 11"17507/15/19941133606/15/2015
Hector SantiagoSSR / R6' 2"18011/18/199712366Unsigned
Matthew PopeRHPR / R6' 6"22507/05/199413396Unsigned
Matt WinnCR / R6' 1"22008/05/19921442606/28/2015
Cody BrickhouseCR / R6' 3"21012/23/199615456Unsigned


'via Blog this'

SABR Geeks, Stats and Playing to the Metric

Lucroyframe

At times, SABR guys do act like they invented the skill catcher framing ( and other aspects of baseball ) because they can now somehow quantify it or illustrate it via charts, graphs or some other whiz-bang technology.  

Is there a baseball coach in America that doesn't think framing is important? 10 year olds are framing FCOL!! Bad coaches are the only ones it seems who do not understand its importance and unfortunately just like the poor, bad coaches will always be among us.  

Pitchers do, catchers do, umpires do, pitching coaches do, even hitters do, and have for a long time. Long before sabermetrics and data analysis was a gleam in the eye of some wanna-be GM. It's SABR arrogance and self indulgence at its worst as the column below titled Sabermetrics Suck: I am not a Troll  humorously illustrates. 

from SABR:
http://sabr.org/latest/lindbergh-brandon-mccarthy-value-catcher-framing
From SABR member Ben Lindbergh at Baseball Prospectus on May 20, 2013:
Diamondbacks starter Brandon McCarthy is known as one of baseball’s most thoughtful, analytical pitchers; two years ago, he famously embraced advanced statistics and remade himself as a pitcher by perfecting a two-seamer that helped him get groundballs more often. As a result, he’s pretty popular on the internet. I asked him to provide the pitcher’s perspective on the importance of pitch framing and receiving skills.
On how he likes to see a catcher receive his pitches: “You keep the ball where you’re throwing, but it just feels soft. Like you’re just throwing to something that just—as a pitcher, you can see movement, see stabbing, the head is moving a lot, there’s a lot of movement. You know that the umpire can see that. And if the umpire is reacting to that, then you’re probably losing pitches. There isn’t much of that with [Miguel Montero], it’s soft and it’s kind of comfortable receiving as opposed to some catchers it looks like they’re—not scared of the ball, but they’re just very anxious to go get it. And it seems like with them you see more pitches being taken away from them.”
On what a good receiver is worth: "I don’t want to put a concrete number on it, because that’s what people take away from it, and you can kind of become married to that. But I would say it’s pretty worthwhile. I mean, the difference between being in a 1-1 count and a 1-2 count is big. Sometimes you might have two of those situations in a game or three, and sometimes you might have 10 or 11, and if he’s doing something for you that’s earning calls that you might not usually get… You know, it’s hard to say because it’s not really an easy situation, you don’t know if somebody else would have gotten that call, or if it’s the umpire, or if it’s him, but I would say over the course of a season it’s probably worth a lot more than most people would consider.”
from Baseball Prospectus:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=18896

Later that day, Rays manager Joe Maddon went on 620 WDAE-AM in Tampa with co-hosts Ron Diaz and Ian Beckles, and he and Beckles had this exchange:
Beckles: Hey Joe, a lot of the moves you make throughout the season are going to be questioned, and it doesn’t matter to you—most of them work out. The one, I guess, move that gets questioned more than any others is Jose Molina, as much as he played this year. Explain to us what Jose Molina has, or what he offers, that either [Chris] Gimenez or [Jose] Lobaton doesn’t offer.
Maddon: Well, I could reveal to you a stat that I just got today that I think would really blow some people’s minds up. I don’t know exactly how it’s calculated or formulated, but it was concluded that he saved us 50 runs this year. And that’s highly significant. You could break down—you know, people just notice once well, maybe he does not block a baseball. I agree with that, although when he has to, he has blocked the ball well. Early in the season, he was not throwing well, but by the end of the year, he was one of the best throwers in the American League. Also by the end of the year, he started hitting the ball and impacting it a lot better. But we did not—whatever we get from his bat was always going to be a bonus. It was primarily based on defense. So if you get a catcher that’s saving you 50 runs on an annual basis, that is highly significant. So, again, without—I don’t have all the information in front of me, but that’s a highly significant number. So, at the end of the day, people are going to look at the superficial part of all this, but we can’t do that. We do have to look under the hood, and actually, Jose was very, very prominent in our success this year.
We don’t know for sure whether Maddon was referring to Max’s calculations. The timing certainly suggests that he was, but maybe there’s another explanation–after all, October 5th was two days after the season ended, which is about when Maddon might have received the Rays’ internal end-of-season reports. Maybe Max’ numbers matched up with the Rays’ own evaluations exactly, or closely enough that they felt there was no harm in letting the stat slip when someone else had already put it out there.
Wherever Maddon's stat came from, it's impossible to pinpoint his motivations for repeating it on air. We never really knowwhy teams say what they say. Maddon might not actually believe the 50-run rating. Maybe he just wanted to make Molina feel good, pump up his trade value, or make his pitchers more confident in their batterymate. Maybe he wanted to justify his decision to use Molina as much as he had. Maybe framing is all an illusion and the Rays just wanted to pull the wool farther over everyone else's eyes (I don't think it's that one).
But imagine what it would mean for Molina’s value if his framing really was worth 50 runs. Without factoring in blocking, throwing, or framing, Molina was worth 0.2 WARP. The defensive systems agree that Molina’s good throwing added roughly as many runs as his poor blocking subtracted, so let’s call those a wash. Add 50 runs, or five wins, to his tally, and his total rises to 5.2, which would make him the most valuable Ray and tie him with Adam Jones and Giancarlo Stanton at 12th overall. Only 15 players had at least 5.0 WARP this season, so we’re talking about Jose Molina—chunky, 37-year-old Jose Molina, who started 80 games, made less than half as much money as sub-replacement player Juan Rivera, failed to hit his weight, and made two Tampa Bay radio hosts wonder what he had that Chris Gimenez and Jose Lobaton didn’t—being one of the best 15 players in baseball.
It does only so much good to spew stats about Molina’s special season. This is one of those times when “show” works better than “tell,” so here’s a list of the 10 pitches farthest away from the center of the strike zone (in any direction) that were called strikes with Molina catching.*

We all kind of have to be on our guard how we communicate with each other it seems.  If you can't communicate to someone in a language and context they can understand, the message will not be received and however brilliant your message is, you will have lost. 

The recent Scioscia - DiPoto dust-up illustrates where this generally ends. 

Over the weekend, Dipoto, unhappy with the coaching staff's decision to rely more on "feel" than data, according to the report, expressed his frustration during a series of meetings. Dipoto's message was met with a heated rebuttal from at least one coach as well as slugger Albert Pujols, the report stated.

Scioscia it seems wants to use the data while avoiding the tendency to Abuse the data. Players end up trying to play to the metric, the ultimate sin of Moneyball IMO. Too much data, too many idea, too many thoughts from too many sources and you wind up with the embodiment of the Yogi Berra quote "You can't think and hit at the same time". You can definitely think too much and end up in a position of paralysis by (over) analysis. Period! End of story. At some point, you have to set in down and JUST LET 'EM PLAY!! PLAY THE GAME, DON'T PLAY TO THE METRIC>

--

Tuesday, January 29, 2013

I Am Not a Troll

Since I've had a lot of new readers come by the site in recent days, I thought it was appropriate to re-state and clarify the intention behind this site.

I realize that by naming the site Sabermetrics Suck, it makes it appear that this blog is either an attempt to instigate, or a parody of an anti-sabermetrics traditionalist.

I assure you that it is neither.

Unfortunately, the title "Sabermetrics Are Good When Used in Moderation But Some People Take It Too Far" seemed a bit clunky.  Also, "Sabermetrics Suck" is definitely catchier.

The goal of the site is not to whine about "geeks with calculators sitting in their mother's basement."  I am not complaining that "these newfangled stats have ruined baseball." 

I accept that the battle between traditionalists and saberfans is pretty much over, and the saberfans have won.

It's pretty tough to deny that fact when I look at ESPN.com and see several baseball writers who focus on advanced statistics.  They even include WAR on their statistics page!

So then what is the point of the site?

In my eyes, the empowered sabermetric crowd has become the new arrogant elite.  It feels like many saberfans were held down and mocked by the traditionalists for so long, that now that they've gained acceptance, they carry themselves with a know-it-all attitude.

Prominent saber-minded writers like Rob Neyer and Keith Law certainly aren't helping that reputation.  

Instead of educating and enlightening people to the ways of sabermetrics, they seem to drive people away with their snarky arrogance.

Saberfans portray traditionalists as stubborn, unyielding old fools who refuse to give up antiquated ways of thinking.  Yet from my experience, saberfans can be even more stubborn and refusing to yield.

The best I can tell, this stubbornness comes from the saberfans having "numbers on their side."

"Oh, people can come up with statistics to prove anything. 14% of people know that."



The typical sabermetric thought process seems to be along these lines:
  1. Come up with a hypothesis.
  2. Find a statistic that backs up that hypothesis.
  3. Convince yourself that the statistic offers irrefutable proof.
  4. Refuse to yield.
It's kind of fun to do, actually!  Here's an example:
  1. Hypothesize that RBIs are an important measure of a player's offensive production.
  2. Check the rosters of every team in baseball, and add up the number of RBIs for each player.
  3. Find that the teams with the highest player RBI totals were the highest scoring offenses.
  4. Conclude that RBIs are a good measure of offensive production.
  5. Refuse to yield.
I'm not advocating abandoning statistical research in baseball.  I think it has indeed provided people with more insight about the game.  I regularly read sabermetrics-focused sites to try and gain more knowledge, and have learned some things that I find fascinating.

What I'm trying to do is to remind people that while baseball is about numbers, it is also more than just numbers.  It's about team chemistry, luck, clutch plays, and moments both amazing and bizarre that make it fun to be a baseball fan.

It's about a team having a "1 in 100" chance of winning, and still finding a way to pull out a victory.

I think that some people have just gotten a little too deep into the numbers to see what's really going on.  I'm trying to help people see the big picture.

The "pendulum has swung" to the side of the saberfans.  The blog represents the start of the back swing.

What bothers me the most is the attitude among many sabers that, if I choose not to embrace their hobby, I'm choosing to be ignorant. To paraphrase Socrates, I admit up front that I know everything about baseball because I know absolutely nothing. Heck, people like Don Zimmer or Jim Leyland, who've been close to the game for decades, admit they still haven't figured out this game -- but some schmuck with a calculator is gonna proclaim he has wisdom on his side? Ridiculous. 

That's not to say there isn't some wisdom to be gleaned from the new stats. But why do so many sabers have to be so doggone smug about it? They make statements like "RBI is a garbage statistic, and the only reason old-timers like Jim Leyland still use it is because they're stodgy and stubborn." Rather than affording longtime managers and others in the game the benefit of the doubt, many sabers use that longevity against them, as "proof" that people in the game resist change. 

I would be happy to enjoy baseball my way, and let others enjoy it their way. But when you go onto various blogs and get lambasted every time you mention RBI or pitchers' wins, it gets a little annoying. What cracks me up the most is, these "scientists" refuse to acknowledge the holes in their logic. One example: "RBI is a garbage stat because it's dependent on factors outside the batter's control." Okay, fine -- but why worship at the altar of bases on balls then? Isn't that also outside the batter's control? In order to draw a walk, the pitcher has to throw four balls outside the strike zone. 

Shouldn't that also give these "scientists" pause? 

It won't, because, while there are some sabers who are open-minded and approach their hobby with a scientific eye, by and large sabermetrics is a cult, not a science. It's all about "we're right and they're wrong -- and I'm going to be snide to anyone who disagrees with me." 




Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Kyle Crick 6-4,220 RHP Power pitcher in the Matt Cain mold. High K-rate comes with High BB-rate. Low 90's FB with sink. Can be a top of the rotation starter once command/control issues ironed out. Mechanics are sound.
  • 2. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 3. Clayton Blackburn 6-3, 220 RHP Good low 90's FB with sink, excellent command of stuff, good secondary pitches. His 8.64 K/BB ratio is off the charts efficient.
  • 4. Adalberto Mejia 6-3,195 LHP Throws strikes and mixes pitches well. Good secondary stuff, projects as middle rotation guy. Keeps ball down and gets outs.
  • 5. Ty Blach 6-1, 210 LHP Glavine comps will give him a chance to rise fast.
  • 6. Keury Mella 6-2, 200 RHP Dominican signee is really opening eyes with a nice power arm
  • 7. Chris Stratton 6-3, 185 RHP Mississippi State Decent four-pitch mix, solid pitching frame. Can run FB to 94 MPH with movement. Throws SL/CB, with the slider the better of the two.
  • 8. Mac Williamson 6-4, 240 OF Wake Forest grad with five-tool potential if he hits advanced pitching.
  • 9. Derek Law 6-2, 210 RHP power arm with some deceptiveness in his delivery, could be a dark horse to contribute in 2014
  • _10. Joan Gregorio 6-7, 180 RHP potential closer material
  • _11. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • _12. Daniel Carbonell 6-2, 215 Cuban signee, speedy, switch-hitting CF with power potential. Could be a five-tool player if he hits.
  • _13. Ryder Jones 6-2, 200 3B polished bat with some pop. Good athleticism for the corner IF
  • _14. Steven Okert 6-3, 210 LHP Oklahoma product, another power lefty prospect.
  • _15. Christian Arroyo 6-1, 180 SS very efficient with the bat, good hitting approach, test will be how he handles advanced pitching
  • _16. Martin Agosta 6-1, 180 RHP FB up to 94 mph with some sink. Plus secondary stuff, shows ability to mix pitches.
  • _17. Luis Ysla 6-1, 185 LHP from Venezeula cruises at 92-94MPH snd touches 97 on occasion, max effort delivery concerns, iffy slider, projects as reliever.
  • _18. Gustavo Cabrera 6-0, 190 OF INTL signee, 16 year-old compared to Justin Upton. Injuries slowed his progress in 2014
  • _19. Dylan Davis 6-0,215 OF Good size and speed package from Oregon State. Has a good arm so may challenge in RF down the road.
  • _20. Sam Coonrod 6-3, 215 RHP Hard-thrower got off to a good start in rookie ball, impressed with high K/BB ratio. Needs to keep ball in the yard.
  • _2015.Draft: Phil Bickford 6-5, 205 RHP | Chris Shaw 6-3, 230 1B | Andrew Suarez 6-2,185 LHP | Jalen Miller 5-10, 175 SS | Mac Marshall 6-0, 180 LHP | Steven Duggar 6-1, 170 CF | Jose Vizcaino 6-3, 200 3B | C.J. Hinojosa 5-11, 175 SS | Lucius Fox 6-2, 170 SS

2015 Top MLB College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Michael Matuella 6-6, 225 RHP Duke Nice four pitch mix, mid 90's FB and 12-6 CB. Potential top of first rounder.
  • 2. Nathan Kirby 6-2, 185 LHP Virginia Dominant starter, 92-93 MPH FB and power curve ball. Added an effective change-up.
  • 3. Carson Fullmer 6-0 RHP Vanderbilt Mid 90's FB compliments effective breaking ball and change-up for effective three pitch mix.
  • 4. Riley Ferrell 6-1, 200 RHP TCU closer for TCU upper 90's FB touches 98-99. Nasty high 80's slider makes him virtually unhittable as closer, can transition to starter
  • 5. Alex Bregman 5-11, 180 2B/SS LSU BS Freshman of Year in 2013 has all the tools, instinctive player.
  • 6. Kyle Funkhouser 6-3, 205 RHP Louisville FB cruises at 92-94 and touches 97.
  • 7. Walker Buehler 6-1, 170 RHP Vanderbilt Low 90's FB and competitive streak, will compliment Fullmer at top of rotation for defending champs.
  • 8. Kyle Cody 6-7, 245 RHP Kentucky Fastball sits at 93-96, 3:1 K/BB ratio in Cape Cod League, secondary stuff needs work
  • 9. Cody Pence 6-6, 240 RHP Cal Poly Pomona Nice four pitch mix, 95-96 MPH FB, plus cutter and curve
  • _10. Ian Happ 5-11, 190 OF Cincinnati Switch hitter with compact, line drive stroke, hard-nosed, high energy player
  • _11. Gio Brusa 6-3, 190 OF Pacific Switch hitter with above average power
  • _12. Phil Bickford 6-4, 200 RHP Cal State Fullerton (??) Good FB, power curve ball mix.
  • _13. Marc Brakeman 6-1 180 RHP Stanford 90-95 MPH FBm 47:7 K/BB ration in Cape Cod League, good swing and miss change and slider
  • _14. Richie Martin 5-10, 170 SS Florida Athletic ING with good speed and arm strength
  • _15. C.J. Hinojosa 5-11, 180 SS Texas Good instincts, confident player. Good arm, fringy power bat
  • _16. Kevin Newman 6-1, 180 SS Arizona Back to back Cape batting titles. Average arm, speed, controls strike zone well
  • _17. Alex Young 6-3, 200 LHP TCU Low 90's FB and slider, two pitch mix, projects as a starter
  • _18. Steven Duggar 6-2, 190 OF Clemson Good speed 6.3 60yd, good bat speed from left side. Potential five-tool guy
  • _19. Kyle Twoney 6-3, 170 LHP USC Easy delivery, good FB command 94 MPH FB
  • _20. Kevin Duchene 6-2, 205 LHP Illinois High 80's FB with nice change, strike thrower, repeatable delivery, good mound presence

2015 MLB Draft - Top National HS Players

  • 1. Justin Hooper 6-7, 230 LHP De La Salle HS (CA) 6-6 athletic lefty with mid-90's FB. UCLA commit.
  • 2. Kolby Allard 6-2, 175 LHP San Clemente HS (CA) easy mid 90's FB tops at 95MPH, good command with plus breaking ball and change. UCLA commit.
  • 3. Brendan Rogers 6-0, 195 SS Lake Mary HS (FL) Good speed and power, athletic IF. Florida State commit.
  • 4. Ashe Russell 6-4, 200 RHP Cathedral Catholic HS (IN) FB that sits at 92-94 and tops at 95 with average potential breaking ball. Could rise fast. Texas A&M commit.
  • 5. Daz Cameron 6-1, 185 OF Eagles Landing HS (GA) Athletic and toolsy player with power and speed. Son of Mike Cameron. Florida State commit.
  • 6. Mike Nikoriak 6-4, 205 RHP Stroudsburg HS (PA) FB sits at 94-96 with sionk. CB is inconsistent. QB prospect with Alabama commit.
  • 7. Beau Burrows 6-1, 200 Weatherford HS (TX) RHP FB workable breaking ball and change. FB sits at 94, tops at 96 with tilt. Texas A&M commit.
  • 8. Trenton Clark 6-0, 200 OF Richland HS (TX) speedy (6.6 60 yd) OF, solid line drive stroke with power potential, Texas Tech commit.
  • 9. Kyle Tucker 6-3,190 OF Plant HS (FL) Solid CF who can hit. Florida commit.
  • _10.. Nick Plummer 5-10, 200 OF Bloomington Brother Rice (MI) Physical, athletic lefty hitter with good bat speed.
  • _11. Chandler Day 6-4, 162 RHP Watkins Memorial HS (OH) solid 93 MPH FB
  • _12. Donny Everett 6-2, 220 RHP Clarksville HS (TN) Power pitcher tops at 96 MH FB
  • _13. Cole McKay 6-5, 215 RHP Smithson Valley HS (TX) Strong frame, power pitcher with some feel for pitching. 92-94 FB with late stuff. Curve and change are both above-average with sink to the change. Louisiana State commit.
  • _14. Chris Betts 6-2, 220 C Wilson HS (CA) Plus pure arm strength, arm stroke gets long for a catcher. needs work receiving, above average raw power from left side, good athlete. Tennessee commit.
  • _15. Hunter Bowling 6-7, 215 LHP American Heritage HS (FL) Great pitcher's build, projectible body. FB touches 93 MPH wit downward tilt. Slider is average, Florida commit.
  • _16. Ryan Johnson 6-3, 200 OF College Station HS (TX) Good bat speed and power bat. TCU commit.
  • _17. Luken Baker 6-4, 245 RHP/OF Oak Ridge HS (TX) Big, strong, physical two-way player. 94 MPH FB with extreme power bat. TCU commit.
  • _18. Wyatt Cross 6-3, 190 C Legacy HS (CO) One of the stronger arms behind the plate, plus pop time. Good strength and athleticism. North Carolina commit.
  • _19. Austin Riley 6-3, 220 RHP/INF DeSoto Central HS (MS) Two-way player and FB prospect as QB, FB touches 92-94 has power potential with bat from right side.
  • _20. Devin Davis 6-2, 210 1B/OF Valencia HS (CA) Two-way player who leads with the power bat. Hitting ability is advanced with natural power leverage in his stroke. Loyola Marymount commit.
  • _21. Thomas Szapucki 6-2,185 LHP Dwyer HS (FL) Three pitch arsenal with deceptive delivery. FB is low 90's with 93 top. Slider can show above average, with a workable change.
  • _22. Sati Santa Cruz 6-3, 230 RHP Sahaurita HS (AZ) Physical, power pitcher challenges hitters with a heavy FB that sits low 90's and touches 95. Secondary stuff needs work. Arizona commit.
  • _23. Corey Zangari 6-4, 230 RHP Carl Albert HS (OK) Also a catcher, his FB cruise at mid 90's and tops at 97. Breaking ball has potential but lacks consistency. Oklahoma State commit.

2015 Top Tampa Bay Area High School Baseball Players

  • LHP Nick Kennedy Alonso HS
  • OF Kyle Tucker 6-3, 175 Plant HS Good pure hitter and defensive OF. Solid skills across the board. Florida commit.
  • RHP Jake Woodford Plant HS Florida commit.

2016 Top MLB HS Draft Prospects (NW Suburban Chicago Area)

  • Anthony Holubecki 6-4, 195 RHP Kaneland HS/IMG Academy(FL) Notre Dame commit easy 93 MPH FB. Another top of the draft talent.
  • Brady Huffman 6-2, 165 RHP Genoa-Kingston HS Illinois State commit. Lanky frame, cruises 85-88 with FB, CB has some depth, efficient delivery and arm action.
  • Brenden Heiss 6-1, 200 RHP Jacobs HS Arkansas commit, can reach 95 MPH on FB, workable CB and CH
  • Joe Dittmar 6-2, 205 RHP/3B Richmond-Burton HS Wichita State commit. Good two-way prospect can hit and has soft hands in IF. cruises late 80's with FB can goose it up to 92. Power arm/power bat.
  • Nick Derr 5-11, 160 SS Geneva HS/IMG Academy (FL) Florida State commit, top of the draft talent, athletic three-sport standout, with sub 7.0 - 60 yd dash speed and arm strength to play QB