Monday, August 23, 2010

Giants get Ross, an OF they didn't really want


At least according to the San Francisco Chronicle report by Henry Schulman.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/08/22/SP6S1F1NKE.DTL

(08-23) 04:00 PDT ST. LOUIS -- It appears the Giants have a new outfielder, whether they wanted him or not. They placed what was believed to be a blocking claim on Cody Ross of the Marlins to prevent the Padres from acquiring him. Florida elected not to pull Ross back and instead handed him to the Giants, who must pay the $1.1 million left on his 2010 contract.

The only question in my mind is, why wouldn't they have wanted Cody Ross? This guy seems like he would be a better player overall than Jose Guillen. Career stat wise, it appears to be a virtual tie, same type player. Maybe after this season, you find a way to let Guillen walk and keep Ross around.

Ross has had some productive years for the Fish, he's down this year almost across the board. He's going to strike out 100+ times in a full season but will provide some pop. His O-Swing% is up this year around 33.9% from a career 28.6%. Maybe a change of scenery is all he needs.

This could be turn out to be one of the better moves the Giants never really wanted to make.

Cody Ross stats

Year AB HR RBI Avg. OBP
2006 269 13 46 .227 .293
2007 173 12 39 .335 .411
2008 461 22 73 .260 .316
2009 559 24 90 .270 .321
2010 448 11 58 .263 .315

Friday, August 20, 2010

Forget the Wild Card, The 2010 Giants may not beat the 2009 Giants


TO SUPPORT THIS CONCLUSION, WE TURN TO STAT-MAN


That's the way the rest of the season may be shaping up if things don't change pretty quickly.

Last years 88W 74L 657 RS 611 RA stat line looks pretty much in line with the current trajectory.

Currently we stand at 68W 54L 528RS 459 RA which projects to 89W 73L 701 RS 609 RA, virtually no improvement from last years squad. A slight improvement in the offensive metrics is offset by a virtual flat line from the pitching staff.

The improvements made across the diamond offensively have been offset a little bit by a backslide in the production of one Pablo Sandoval. Whether the pre-season tinkering with his weight, conditioning and vision issues are the root cause or his personal issues regarding a rumored divorce I suppose nobody really knows except Panda, but he's clearly not the same offensive force this season after a decent start. The bright spots that are Huff, Torres, Posey and Burrell have been virtually offset by the disappointments of Panda, Rowand and DeRosa.

The recent key series brought to light a couple of the issues that I think are holding the Giants back. Throughout the Padres and Phillies series I would see the final score flash as an ESPN trailer and then the stat line of the opposing pitcher and the stat that kept jumping out to me was 10K 0BB or 9K 1BB. Do opposing pitchers turn into strike throwing machines against the Giants or what?

When the Giants made the change from Carney Lansford to Hensley Meulens as hitting coach the team preached patience. A key discipline.

"Being at the bottom of the pile in those numbers, of course there are improvements to be made," Meulens said. "They don't come overnight. We have to be patient."

The numbers he was talking about were as follows:

The Giants finished 88-74 this season, four games behind wild-card winner Colorado—and with 16 more victories than in 2008. But the team is looking to boost its run production after having the second-fewest homers (122) and drawing the fewest walks (392) in the majors in 2009. The Giants were 13th in the National League in runs.

Runs / Game (RPG) are up from 4.06 to 4.34 (League wide RPG are down from 4.43 to 4.28)
HR/G are up from 0.75 to 0.91
BB/G are up from 2.54 to 3.15
K/G are down from 7.15 to 6.68
BB/K are up from 0.355 to 0.472
AVG/OBA/OPS improved from .257/.309/.699 to .260/.326/.731
OPS+ improved from 80 to 92

So clearly, statistically the Giants have improved under Meulens. He has done the job he set out to do, so far. The problem goes further down the chain as far of development of hitter's.

THE OFFENSE HAS BEEN ABOUT AS EXPECTED THIS SEASON, A BIT BETTER THAN LAST, BUT STILL AVERAGE AND PEDESTRIAN. NO SPEED - NO HIT & RUN - NO SMALL BALL - WAIT FOR THE OCCASIONAL HR TO PRODUCE RUNS AND HOPE SOMEBODY IS ON BASE AT THE TIME IS NOT GOING TO CUT IT. THEY ALSO PICKED A BAD TIME (MOST OF AUGUST) TO GO INTO A DITCH. OTHER THAN THE CUBS SERIES - AND THE CUBS HAVE QUIT - THEY ARE AVERAGING ABOUT 2-3 RUNS PER GAME CONSISTENTLY AND THE NUMBER OF RUNS THAT ARE PRODUCED FROM OTHER THAN THE HR HAS, OF LATE, BEEN ALMOST NON-EXISTENT.

The last couple of series have been an eye-opener.

During the three-game series vs. The Padres and the first two vs. the Phillies (1W - 4L overall) the Giants produced 43K - 8BB and only manufactured 4 RUNS in 5 GAMES. Manufactured runs meaning runs coming the result of something other than a HR.

They have basically turned into an AL offense, waiting for the 3-run HR and if they don't get it, look for 3 or under Runs Scored. The major characteristics used to describe the Giants hitters are all negatives:

IMPATIENT (average BB/K ratio 16th in the league)
UNDISCIPLINED (Highest O_Swing% in baseball)
SLOW (least # of SB in baseball)


STAT LINES FROM THE PADRES - PHILLIES SERIES:

Friday Lost 3-2 to Padres Clayton Richard
4K, 3BB,M 0 HR'S - 2 MANUFACTURED

Saturday W 3-2 to Padres (11 Innings) Mat Latos
11K, 3BB, 1 SOLO HR BY SANDOVAL - 1 MANUFACTURED

Sunday Lost 8-2 to Padres to Wade LeBlanc
10K, 2BB, 2 RUN HR BY POSEY - 0 MANUFACTURED

( 2-9 23 RS 40 RA VS. PADRES)


Tuesday's Notes - Lost 9-3 vs. Oswalt
Giants starters are 0-8 with a 5.97 ERA in the last 13 games.
10K, 0BB, 2 SOLO HR'S - 1 MANUFACTURED

8-2 Wednesday Lost 8-2 vs. Blanton
8K, 0BB, 2 SOLO HR'S - 0 MANUFACTURED

San Francisco failed to get a win from its starting pitcher for the 14th consecutive game.

The Giants' rotation, usually one of the team's strengths, is 0-9 with a 5.97 ERA during that stretch.

46 RUNS SCORED LAST 15 GAMES (3.07 AVG.)
23 RUNS SCORED CUBS 4 GAMES

23 RUNS IN LAST 11 NON-CUBS SERIES (2.09 AVG.)

1 vs. COL, 4 vs. ATL, 4 vs. CUBS, 3 vs. SD, 2 vs. PHI


The website Fan Graphs has a stat that I think leads to where the Giants major challenge lies offensively.

FANGRAPHS WEBSITE:
http://www.fangraphs.com/teams.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&type=5&season=2010&month=0

If you look here you see the Giants are a worst in the majors 32.3% O_Swing% or Outside Swing Percentage.

This measures the % of pitches a batter swings at that are outside the Strike Zone.

The League Average is around 29%, Just eyeballing the table you can see that the better teams offensively are clustered at the top The Yankees at 25.8%, Red Sox 26.7%, Braves 26.7% and so on. After the D-Backs you see the A's, Twins, Rays, Phillies and Dodgers.

Intuitively, you would think that swinging at pitches outside the strike zone makes the pitchers job of getting you out easier. Does it? And if so how much does it hurt an offense or a team?

Is the patient, milk the count, Yakees-Red Sox, Moneyball approach more efficient offensively and does it correlate to winning better than an aggressive, swing at the fist pitch you like approach?

If we accept that O_Swing% identifies the various approaches and correlate the O-Swing% to Runs Scored or RS and then to Win%, we see that:

O-Swing% correlates to RS negatively -0.3912 (15.30% R-squared) a moderate negative correlation, which implies that the more you swing at pitches outside the strike zone, the less you will score runs. Makes sense. Moderate because you can recover from a bad swing here and there and salvage the AB.

There is a low correlation between O_Swing% and Win% of -0.2697 (7.27% R-squared). Makes sense. You can recover from having a poor overall team hitting approach offensively by having a strong defense and pitching.

The surprising number to me, at first, was the correlation between BB/K and winning. The walk to strikeout ratio to me is the most useful identifier and predictor of how a hitter or pitcher will progress or advance from the minors to the majors.

And now I think I see why. Follow me here. Because it plays into the Voros McCracken/SABR analysis that puts forth the theory that once the pitcher throws the ball and the hitter hits the ball, neither has control over its eventual destination. Short term. AB to AB. The idea is to make consistently good pitches (as a pitcher) and take consistently good swings (as a hitter) and let the "Law of Averages" or law of large numbers work in your favor. This explains the rise of BABIP as a closely watched and evaluated metric.

Hitters know this theory explained by the days when they hit four balls on the screws, at-em balls right at somebody, and go 0 for 4 and somebody else hits a humpback liner, a seeing eye grounder, a duck snort and a swinging bunt and end up 4 for 4. Pitchers see this in reverse after they make a good pitch and see a bad result and at times make a bad pitch and get away with it.

Process matters long-term, it feeds into long-term results. Short-term almost any approach can work. Remember the pitchers hitting philosophy "Swing hard in case you make contact". It explains why hitters and pitchers regurgitate what seems like throw-away, shop-worn lines like, "I'm just taking it one pitch at a time, trying to make good pitches/take good swings, etc." They get it.

But I digress. The ultimate confrontation in baseball is between the pitcher and the hitter, it feeds into every other metric. The objective of the game is to score runs and win games. You get 27 outs, to be used judiciously to score said runs and win said games. Anything that leads you closer to an out moves you further away from a run and a win.

If we accept the premise put forth by the BABIP'ers that once the pitch is thrown and the bat is swung the result is random and out of the control of the participants, then the most reliable, efficient and objective statistic available to evaluate the pitcher / hitter confrontation is BB/K ratio.

So I looked at that statistic and found that the Giants are about league average. 0.47 as an offense, but down to 0.19 in the last five disaster games versus the Padres and the Philies.

What was surprising was the extent to which this statistic correlates to Win% 0.6386 (40.76% r-squared). This indicates a moderate to nearly high correlation and a substantial to marked relationship. The 40.76% r-squared indicates that almost 41% of winning and losing can be attributed to controlling, maintaining and improving the performance that flows through to this statistic.

The Numbers are posted here:
http://www.scribd.com/doc/36147619/Stats-OSwing-vs-Win-amp-RS


More patience and discipline at the plate, making better contact, swinging at better pitches, making the pitchers job tougher rather than easier.

The Ted Williams approach is what we seem to need a little more of around the organization. The first rule is to get a good pitch to swing at. To the extent that the Giants continue to lead the league in O_Swing%, they continue to violate Rule #1.

The second rule is to put a good swing out there. That doesn't seem to be a problem, these guys are major leaguers, but to the extent that you violate Rule #1, you hurt Rule #2 and eventually, long-term, you hurt the end results, which are Batting Average, Run Production and Wins and Losses.

BTW, the Giants O_Swing% per batter were as follows:

BURRELL 23.8%
RENTERIA 25.7%
FONTENOT 26.3%
TORRES 27.9%
POSEY 28.5%
GUILLEN 28.6%
HUFF 28.9%
DEROSA 30%
SCHIERHOLZ 30.4%
URIBE 34.5%
ISHAKAWA 35.2%
MOLINA 35.5%
SANCHEZ 36.4%
ROWAND 38.5%
SANDOVAL 43.6%


The surprise is that Rowand's number, as a veteran, is so high. Sandoval's is abysmal. It may be cute when he's hitting .300, but not so much at .265.

I don't want to leave the pitching staff out of the analysis. Prior to the season, I envisioned a dominant starting staff that would win approx. 60% of it's decisions and leave the rest of the staff to play .500.

The results have been tepid at best and of late they have shown signs of fraying at the seams.

LINCECUM 11-7
CAIN 9-10
ZITO 8-7
SANCHEZ 9-8
BUMGARNER 4-4
TOTAL 41-36


THE PITCHER'S, ESPECIALLY THE VAUNTED STARTING ROTATION HAS BEEN LIVING ON REPUTATION AND IT HAS CAUGHT UP WITH THEM THIS MONTH. THE GIANTS LEAD THE LEAGUE IN WALKS, LINCECUM LOOKS TIRED OR HURT, CERTAINLY NOT A DOMINANT PITCHER. CAIN IS BACK TO A LESS THAN .500 PITCHER. INFACT THE STAFF IS VIRTUALLY .500 ACROSS THE BOARD. THE BRIGHT SPOT HAS BEEN WILSON AS THE CLOSER. THE MIDDLE RELIEF HAS BEEN ABOUT AS EXPECTED.


ESPN Notes on the staff: I added the WHIP for comparison, Lincecum is the only starter above the team average

• ON TIM LINCECUM: "He's not the same guy. And if he's not the same guy, they're in trouble. He doesn't have confidence in his fastball right now. He's got a good enough change to get by, but he can't become a changeup monster at age 26."

News: Lincecum lost for the third straight time on Sunday, giving up six runs (five earned) on eight hits and three walks over only 3.2 innings. He struck out six.

Spin: With the bad outing, Lincecum's ERA climbed to a mere-mortal 3.62. He was a little unlucky, but once again his control wasn't as precise as it has been in previous years. "I missed my spots here and there. There were a lot of bloop hits here and there but hits are hits and a loss is a loss," he said. "At the end of the day that's what I have to look at it as and just get better from here." 1.34 WHIP VS. 1.33 TEAM AVG.

News: Cain took the loss against the Phillies on Wednesday after allowing five runs - two earned - on seven hits in six innings.

Spin: Cain fell victim to a four run rally in the fourth inning, but breezed through the Phillies aside from that. He entered the game with a 3.62 ERA and 1.31 WHIP on the road, a far cry from his 2.62 ERA and 1.01 WHIP at home. 1.16 WHIP

News: Zito took the loss Tuesday when he allowed four runs over five innings against the Phillies.

Spin: Zito surrendered eight hits, walked one and failed to strike out a single batter. His record now sits at 8-7 on the season, with a 3.56 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Giants starters are 0-8 with a 5.97 ERA over the last 13 games. ZITO 1.26 WHIP

News: Sanchez lasted just 5.1 innings Friday against the Padres, allowing three runs on five hits to drop to 8-8.

Spin: Sanchez's inconsistency continues. His 144 strikeouts in 137.1 innings are offset by the 70 walks and 15 home runs. There is still some upside here, but the ups and downs will continue. 1.27 WHIP

News: Bumgarner pitched seven innings of two-run ball Saturday, allowing eight hits and two walks. He struck out two.

Spin: Bumgarner pitched well even though he was left with no decision. He's allowed two runs or less in five of 10 starts this season. 1.33 WHIP

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

The other side of "The Shot Heard 'Round the World" story


THE SHOT: FROM THE DODGERS POINT OF VIEW

What a remarkably poignant and moving story from the perspective of legendary Dodgers announcer Vin Scully. It truly demonstrates the value of displaying dignity in both victory and defeat.

Over the years, both Bobby Thomson and Ralph Branca were certainly role models for their behavior during what had to be one of the the biggest "thrill of victory and the agony of defeat" moments in baseball history.

Scully sure knows how to make it hard to hate the Dodgers.
WHAT AN AWESOME STORY.

FROM ESPN.COM

By Ramona Shelburne
ESPNLosAngeles.com


http://sports.espn.go.com/new-york/mlb/news/story?id=5472666

LOS ANGELES -- Vin Scully has been responsible for some of the most memorable calls in baseball history. Kirk Gibson's home run, Don Larsen's perfect game, Hank Aaron's 715th home run, Bill Buckner's muffed ground ball.

The Hall of Fame broadcaster was merely in the building for Bobby Thomson's "Shot Heard 'Round the World" in 1951.

Scully said that as soon as the ball was hit, he'd looked down to the club seats at Branca's fiance.

"Ann, Ralph's wife to be, was sitting in the club box," Scully said. "I knew she was there, so when the ball was hit and everything went crazy, I instinctively looked down there.

"I can remember it in order. Ann, when the ball went in the seats, opened up her purse, and rather calmly, took out a handkerchief, closed the purse, opened the handkerchief, and then buried her face in the handkerchief. I'll always remember that."

Branca, who was 25 at the time, handled the moment with tremendous dignity.

"To me, and again I'm coloring this perhaps out of friendship, the fellow who came out of that incident 10 feet tall was Ralph Branca," Scully said. "He was subject to every old-timers day, recreating the home run, blah, blah, blah. Their names were completely linked, you couldn't say one without the other.

"Although it was very easy to take bows, and Bobby [Thomson] did it very well. He didn't gloat or anything. He was a very unassuming hero. Ralph to me really carried the cross exceptionally well. One of the reasons, I think, I don't think it was the first Saturday, but certainly by the next [weekend], Ralph and Ann were getting married.

"I always thought, out of the ashes of this thing, Ralph just kept growing in stature because he took it so well."

In his book, The Echoing Green: The Untold Story of Bobby Thomson, Ralph Branca and the Shot Heard 'Round the World Joshua Prager relates how he was able to initially deal with the defeat. As they were leaving the park an hour or so after the game..

Ann sat in the backseat in tears, her father's second cousin Francis Rowley, a Jesuit priest, come to console her. Rowley turned to Branca.

"Forget it, Ralph" he said,..."It could have happened to anyone. You did your best."

Branca's mind cleared. He had lost the pennant.

A need to make sense of his lot welled in Branca. He had once been a great pitcher. And at twenty-five, he remained a good man. He did not smoke, did not cheat, and save an occasional highball, did not drink.

And so he answered Rowley, a man of the cloth, with a desperate and familiar question. "Yes, Father," he said "but why did it have to be me? Why me?"

Father Rowley,....he did not hesitate with his answer. "The reason God picked you to throw that pitch," he said, "was because He knew that your faith was strong enough to withstand the agonies that would follow. That you would know it was His will and you had done your best and no one could ask more of any man."

Branca listened. Here in a sedan in an empty parking lot in Harlem was an answer that made sense, that jibed with scripture and his world view and his sense of self, an answer elastic enough to accommodate all that was sure to follow. Here was a reply tantamount to a reprieve. The home run was a crucible. Fiancée at his side, Branca drove off.

Even fifty years after the moment, when a 2001 Wall Street Journal story alleged Giants sign stealing during that season came out, Branca maintained a high level of class and dignity. He and Thomson remained friends until Thomson's death. Thomson never admitted to knowing what pitch was coming from Branca.

Giants playoff chances still alive, but it doesn't hurt to plan ahead


The Giants are one step closer to being out of the playoffs after yesterdays debacle against the Phillies. An early 2-0 lead melted like an ice cream cone in the August heat into a disappointing 9-3 loss to the Phils.

The Giants began the scoring doing what they do best offensively, with Aubrey Huff grounding into a DP, as Andres Torres scored after leading off the inning with a 2B. Pat Burrell added a solo HR after Huff's DP. Newly acquired Jose Guillen added a HR late in the game. Zito and Oswalt pitched equally well, but a couple of stats stood out. Giants 10K and 0 BB. NO WALKS, REALLY!! This is contrasted by only 2 K's and 3 BB's on the Phillies side of the ledger.

Giants pushed only 3 runners into scoring position vs. 13 for the Phillies. Understood that reliever Chris Ray threw a lot of gasoline on the fire late, but this is symptomatic of a lack of diversity in this offense. Not good for late in the season play or, God forbid, we manage to squeak into the playoffs. The lineup looks better on paper, with a disturbingly old-style American League feel. Wait for the 3-run HR. If you don't get it, runs are hard to come by. Two solo HR's look good on the stat sheet, but only count for 2 R's. Not very efficient.

The G-men are almost dead on the MLB average across the board in the major offensive metrics.

BA (.260 vs. .259 MLB avg.)
OBP (.326 vs. .327 MLB avg.)
SLG (.405 vs. .405 MLB avg.)
OPS (.731 vs. .732 MLB avg.)

Average will likely not get it done down the stretch. The offense simply has to start picking up the pace.

I know the pundits and most fans will want to continue to hang our hats on the strength of the Giants superior pitching. However, even here the starting pitching is beginning to show some cracks and the middle innings relief, which was a strength has already faded somewhat due to injuries.

The most disturbing stat is that the Giants pitching staff leads the majors in WALKS. Which turns a good-looking .243 BA against into a near league average OBP.

The Padres, with perhaps more depressing offensive stats than the Giants, just seem more diversified offensively. At least in the limited number of games I've seen the Pads play this season.

We know that the Phillies--the other main threat to the Giants playoff chances--are beginning to reload their lineup with a returning Chase Utley and Ryan Howard. Their offense is more than ready to pick up the pace into September. They are a veteran team that has been there before.

The Giants have seemingly been on a 90 win pace all season. Unfortunately, it seems like it may take 92-93 W's to secure the wild-card berth. The Giants, of late, show more signs of fading to 85-87 wins than closing the race like legendary track stars Jim Ryan or Kip Keino.

It's time to pick up the pace and close the deal or start making other plans for mid to late October.

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Sad News for Giants fans....Bobby Thomson died today


http://www.silive.com/sports/index.ssf/2010/08/bobby_thomson_immortalized_by.htm

Bobby Thomson, the New York baseball legend who called Staten Island home and hit perhaps the most famous home run of all-time -- the "Shot Heard 'Round the World" to win the 1951 pennant for the New York Giants -- died Monday night at the age of 86.


Immortalized in Giants and baseball lore with the "Shot Heard 'Round the World". One of the most famous HR's in baseball history. I wasn't even born, but as a Giants fan hearing Russ Hodges call of the shot and reading about the history of the Giants famous comeback that season -- The Little Miracle of Coogan's Bluff -- is timeless and just makes the hair on the back of my neck stand on end.

The Giants closed a 13 1/2 game deficit on July 4th of that season to force a three-game playoff that culminated in Thomson's HR. A 20-year old rookie CF Willie Mays--whose call-up aided the Giants comeback season enormously--knelt nervously, admittedly trembling under the stress, in the on-deck circle.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shot_Heard_'Round_the_World_(baseball)

On August 11, Brooklyn had held a 13½-game lead on the Giants, but the Giants turned around and won their next 16 games. While Brooklyn finished the season on a 26–22 clip, the Giants put together a streak almost unequalled in baseball history, winning 37 of the last 44 games, including the last seven in a row. Only a 14-inning victory over the Philadelphia Phillies, the previous year's league champions, on the last day of the regular season enabled the Dodgers to force the best-of-three-games showdown.

Brooklyn won the coin toss to decide home-field advantage in the series. Controversially, manager Charlie Dressen opted to play only the first game at home, rather than the last two; he reasoned that if the Dodgers won their only home game, they would need to win only one out of two on the road.


1951 World Series Giants Win Pennant





Giants round up the 2010 draft class...Brown and Parker signed



Giants sign first-round pick Gary Brown

SF also inks second-round pick Jarrett Parker

http://sanfrancisco.giants.mlb.com/news/press_releases/press_release.jsp?ymd=20100816&content_id=13532188&vkey=pr_sf&fext=.jsp&c_id=sf&partnerId=ed-3987850-153012614

SAN FRANCISCO, CA -- The San Francisco Giants have signed their first two selections in the 2010 First-Year Player Draft, the club announced this evening. The Giants inked outfielder, Gary Brown, their first pick and 24th overall selection to a 2011 deal. San Francisco also penned their second pick and the 74th overall selection in the 2010 Draft, Jarrett Parker. The Giants have come to terms with 33 players from this year's draft, including each of their first 14 selections and 18 of their top 20 picks.

http://sanfrancisco.giants.mlb.com/team/draft.jsp?c_id=sf

I am not sure how accurate the list posted further down the page, as it shows 5th rounder Richard Hembree and 6th rounder Mike Kickham as unsigned. Hembree has pitched for the AZL Giants and Kickhham is already with Salem Keizer. They also show 6-8 USF LHP Andrew Barbosa as unsigned, which would be a bit of a loss. He may have been a bit of a project, but he seemed like a very intriguing pick in that spot.

http://sanfrancisco.giants.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100816&content_id=13531364&vkey=news_sf&fext=.jsp&c_id=sf

THE NEWEST GIANTS PROSPECTS:

1st/24th Gary Brown 6-0,185 CF R/R/Cal-State Fullerton - has plus speed, considered a lead-off hitter who can be a force at the top of the lineup. His base stealing success rate was above average. His defense in CF is also considered a plus, good range and instincts that could develop into a potential Gold glover-type. His arm is acceptable if not a plus tool. A gap-to-gap hitter with little power, he has to improve his patience at the plate to properly utilize his speed. He can bunt and makes enough contact. Brown should begin with the Arizona League squad or Salem Keizer, but may hit near the top of most prospect lists shortly. The comparisons have varied on Brown's game to Johnny Damon, Jacoby Ellsbury or Juan Pierre. Solid prospect with solid tools,

2nd/74th Jarrett Parker 6-4,210 CF L/L Virginia also has plus speed with some pop in his bat. He is an athletic hitter with a good frame, his hitting is a bit raw. He projects as a top-of-the-order hitter and a great base stealing threat with plus speed. The only question seems to be how fast he transitions to making consistent contact with professional pitching. He is a high power/high K% Rate with the bat currently. Swings and misses more than he should. Can be bothered with breaking stuff. Defensively, he's a plus CF with an average arm in the OF. Should also begin with Arizona / Salem Keizer.

3rd/105th Carter Jurica 5-11,185 SS R/R Kansas State - considered a utility IF type. A bit of a surprise pick in this spot. Not a real polished or toolsy prospect but a solid player. He is considered a plus runner and a patient, disciplined hitter. Average defender with an average arm but a versatile defender who may have to carry many gloves in his bag.

4th/138th Seth Rosin 6-6,245 RHP Minnesota - Good body control and command of his pitches. He could rise very fast. Efficient, a control-type pitcher who projects as a solid, bottom of the rotation 3rd/4th starter or solid set-up reliever. FB runs 90-94 with command. Change and breaking stuff is average. Throws strikes and scouts liked his demeanor. Only 12 BB over 103 IP in 2010.

5th/168th Richard Hembree 6-4,210 RHP College of Charleston - A bit raw and inexperienced, but a fresh arm with a FB that touches 98 and major league size gives him a chance to advance.

6th/198th Mike Kickham 6-4,205 LHP Missouri State - signed for $410K, over slot for the draft position shows what the Giants think of him. A quality arm with good size from a college program that has been producing some quality professional arms of late. FB runs from 90-94.

As of last night's deadline, the only two draftees that the Giants did not sign from within the first 20 rounds were 15th rounder Andrew Barbosa, a left-handed pitcher out of South Florida, and 19th rounder Austin Southall, a highly regarded prep 1B from University HS (LA).

This looks to be a solid, if unspectacular draft haul for the Giants. If they hit 2/3 on the position players listed and 2/3 from amongst the pitchers, it can become a very successful draft.

Monday, August 16, 2010

Giants still have high hopes...just like that silly old ant



AREN'T THEY CUTE AT THAT AGE??

Lyrics to High Hopes, sung by Frank Sinatra. Written by Sammy Cahn and Jimmy Van Heusen

San Diego series story notes from Yahoo Blog "Big League Stew".

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_stew/post/BIG-Series-San-Diego-looks-to-withstand-San-Fra?urn=mlb-262341#remaining-content


Next time your found, with your chin on the
ground
There a lot to be learned, so look around



The situation: Since April 19, the Padres have either led the NL West or been within one game of first. Their lead over the Giants is now 2.5 games and they have a chance to tighten their grip on their claim with a three-game series at AT&T Park.


Just what makes that little old ant
Think he’ll move that rubber tree plant
Anyone knows an ant, can’t
Move a rubber tree plant


San Diego has absolutely dominated the Giants this season, going 7-1 over the first eight meetings this season. The rivalry has been a lot closer than the results indicate, however. Four of the Padres' seven wins were of the one-run variety, including two 1-0 wins. (Both 1-0 games were started by Mat Latos(notes) and Jonathan Sanchez(notes).)


But he’s got high hopes, he’s got high hopes
He’s got high apple pie, in the sky hopes


Will Sanchez back up his guarantee?: The lefty has had enough after being a hard-luck loser in two of his first three starts against the Padres this season (including taking a 'L' after throwing a one-hitter on April 21). He guarantees that the Giants will sweep this weekend's series and take control of first place for the first time since a brief stay on May 6.

"We're going to play San Diego, and we're going to beat them three times," Sanchez told MLB.com. "If we get to first place, we're not going to look back."


So any time your gettin’ low
’stead of lettin’ go
Just remember that ant
Oops there goes another rubber tree plant

When troubles call, and your back’s to the wall
There a lot to be learned, that wall could fall


The results: Giants lose two out of three to the Padres, led off by another one-run loss by our fearless prognosticator, Jonathan Sanchez. It's really not cool to talk smack and then not back it up. It just looks foolish. Every time.

Next series is against the Phillies. Just shut up and PLAY BALL, Gi-Ants.


ANOTHER JOE NAMATH-LIKE GUARANTEE?? I HOPE NOT??

Friday, August 13, 2010

Giants get Guillen....is Guillen a good get?



He will be if his bat perks up as a result of being in a playoff race and his attitude calms down again as a result of being in a playoff race. His 3 year / $36 million deal ends after this season, so he's strictly a mercenary at this point. The PTBNL is an issue, but as long as it is not an upper tier prospect, this is a low-risk, high reward pick up.

Guillen should be well motivated to keep his nose clean and produce. I'm sure his agent will advise him as much. No guarantee, but I'm not sure there was an impact bat out there that could be had as reasonably as this one.

This looks like a good get. His numbers this season are 16-62-.255 with a .743 OPS a little below his career OPS of .762. If he can goose that number as much as Pat Burrell or Aubrey Huff is so far this season, we might be able to begin to think seriously about the playoffs. There's still a lot of baseball left but this weekend Padres series is shaping up as rather large.

According to the AP:

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP)—The Kansas City Royals have traded outfielder Jose Guillen(notes) to the San Francisco Giants in exchange for a player to be named later and cash considerations.

The Royals announced the deal Friday, hours before the Giants hosted San Diego in an NL West showdown.

The 34-year old Guillen was hitting .255 with 16 home runs and 62 RBI in 106 games for the Royals prior to being designated for assignment on Aug. 5. Kansas City had 10 days to trade or release him.

Guillen, an outfielder-designated hitter, was signed three years ago to a $36 million, three-year contract that made him the Royals’ highest-paid player per year in team history. He is owed approximately $3.93 million from his $12 million salary this season.

The Giants will be Guillen’s 10th major league stop.

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Life's Lessons Learned at a Baseball Game



SEE WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU DON'T LISTEN TO YOUR L.L. COACHES

OK, follow me here.

When we coach kids, especially when they get to be older than 12-13, we ALWAYS tell them, "get in front of the ball", "knock it down", "make a play". And we reinforce it with a macho chaser like, "It's going to hurt more if you let it get past you, then if it hits you" implying that letting the team down is a fate worse than taking one in the jewels.

And thankfully, most of the time, the team moms are out of earshot when this advice is dispensed, because if they hear this type of Neanderthal mind-set spewed to their youngsters, you are pretty likely to go in front of the board or your A.D. and have your jobs on the line.

But here we will see how these life lessons taught and learned on the fields across America have lasting, life-long value. Even if the message occasionally get side-tracked or watered-down by today's P.C. / bull-spit environment.

I give you America's newest YouTube sensations:

The appearance on CBS The Early Show



Dude gets his manhood seriously questioned on National TV!!!

I mean that was painful to watch. He got raked pretty good by that overbearing Harry Smith, who appears like he should be the last one questioning anyones manhood, BTW. Is an appearance fee -- or a trip to NYC -- that valuable that you would subject a perfectly respectable young man from having to go through this sort of televised emasculation.

I mean, you can bail out like that if you are with one of your buddies and he takes one in the nachos or his beer gets splashed all over the yard. It's all good then, everyone's a hero - no losers - high-fives and laughs all around, you both end up on the Jumbo-Tron, nobody gets hurt. You buy the next round. ALL GOOD!!

But THIS!!!

Thank goodness they didn't go on The View. He might have had his genitals served up to him on a Shish Kabob. And they are the first ones to squawk about equality and spit. If that's the case, GF is on her own, right? Of course not. See how the messages get mixed?

So let this be a lesson to all the young men out there. Fellas, take one for the team. We got ice. The old horsehide will NEVER, EVER hurt you as much as this. I don't care where you get hit. His boys would be in better shape if he got nailed right in the package, then the way he bailed out on his women. And if you think appearing on national TV is going to help your chances with Ms. Future GF, think again son.



You're young, you'll learn but I'll tell you, girls talk, they share stories like this. You think the first video went viral fast, this one ought to leave that bad boy in the dust. Change your name, shave the goofy 'stache, maybe you'll get another chance.

This is getting world-wide attention.

FROM THE TELEGRAPH - IN ENGLAND - THEY JUST LOVE TO KICK THE COLONISTS WHEN WE'RE DOWN

'Cowardly' American baseball fan 'Bo the Bailer' caught on TV 'dodging foul ball'

An American baseball fan dubbed “Bo the Bailer” has become an internet hit after being caught on television ducking to avoid catching a ball hit into the stands that then struck his girlfriend.


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/howaboutthat/7939554/Cowardly-American-baseball-fan-Bo-the-Bailer-caught-on-TV-dodging-foul-ball.html

And to the women, who at times question why we cling to the SEEMINGLY cavemen-like traditions that we do - PLEASE, SHUT-UP!!! Don't question how we raise the boys. It's for their own good. We know what we're doing and we also know that someday -- at a time and place not of our choosing -- something like this is going to happen to all of us.

This is Exhibit A in our case for why these traditions will not, can not and should not ever die.

See, I maintain that chivalry is not dead, it's just having it's head held underwater by goofy feminists. But you can never win, I guess. It's the world we live in nowadays.

THE INITIAL HIT - "BEAU THE BAILER"



I don't know, maybe it's me, I've been to tons of games and I've never come near catching a foul ball. I would be more likely to push my girl out of the way to GET TO the ball. This guy bails, lets his girl take the shot, and still gets the ball on the rebound.

Life's not fair.


NY DAILY NEWS ACCOUNT OF THE CBS INTERVIEW:

http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/2010/08/12/2010-08-12_boyfriend_who_let_girlfriend_get_hit_by_foul_ball_dumped_but_couple_visits_cbs_e.html

The video of a young woman being struck by a foul ball at Monday's Houston Astros game when her boyfriend moved out of the way may have contributed to the couple's break-up.

Bo Wyble and Sara Saco-Vertiz, the pair who became famous on the internet after the video of the foul ball went viral, made a trip to New York on Thursday to appear on CBS' "Early Show," where they were interviewed by Harry Smith.

Towards the end of the interview, Smith asked if they were still together.

They looked at each other and giggled, before Saco-Vertiz said "I mean, it's not over because of the ball." Before she could continue, Smith cut her off, saying "There's more than we want to know."

The two admitted they moved up from their original seats at Minute Maid Park during the game between the Astros and the Atlanta Braves, to the seats where the foul ball landed.

Saco-Vertiz said the pain after the ball hit her was "a six out of ten."

Then, Wyble was given a stern lecture on chivalry by Smith.

"In normal human life, if a foul ball comes your way, you know what men do?," Smith said. "They stand up and they catch the foul ball. That's what men do."

"Oh," Wydle replied sheepishly.

Smith then gave Wydle a chance to explain himself.

"I stood up to catch it and when it got close, I lost sight of it, so I moved," Wyble said. "I figured she wasn't sitting still, I figured she had moved."

A couple seconds of awkward silence follwed before Smith incredulously asked "That's it? That's all you got?"

Wyble said if he had the chance to relive that night, he would stand in front of his then-girlfriend and let the ball hit him in the back.

God Bless Lt. Col. Allen West....Sen. Reid do you have a question? Molon Labe, Baby!!


Is this the kind of man we need "to restore honor, integrity and character to Washington, DC"?

I LOVE THIS MAN!!!

I suppose to Senator Reid, the only thought might be, "what is a Negro doing in the Republican Party?" Especially one who is "light-skinned" and does not speak in "negro dialect".

What's that Vice President Biden?

Yes sir, he is "clean and articulate" as well, isn't he sir?

This is EXACTLY the kind of man we need in Washington.

Molōn labe! INDEED!!!

You have to watch this video, it's 8 minutes long.

If this guy doesn't win, I really have grave reservations for the future of this country.

Lt. Col. Allen West Tells Florida Dems ‘Come and Get it!’

http://www.publiusforum.com/2010/08/11/lt-col-allen-west-tells-florida-dems-come-and-get-it/




http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molon_labe

The Greek phrase Molōn labe! (Μολὼν λαβέ; approximate Classical Greek pronunciation [molɔ̀ːn labé], Modern Greek [moˈlon laˈve]), meaning "Come and take them" is a classical expression of defiance reportedly by King Leonidas in response to the Persian army's demand that the Spartans surrender their weapons at the Battle of Thermopylae. It corresponds roughly to the modern equivalent English phrase "over my dead body", "bring it on" or, most closely, "come and get it". It is an exemplary use of a laconic phrase.


---

Allen West: Honor In Iraq

AllenWestForCongress




"If it's about the lives of my men and their safety, I'd go through Hell with a gasoline can . . . There is not a person in this room I would not sacrifice my life for." -Lieutenant Colonel (Ret.) Allen B. West
---
http://allenwestforcongress.com/

http://allenwestforcongress.com/blog/2010-07-19/washingtoons-one-nation-under-god-indivisible-liberty-and-justice-all

Washingtoons: "One Nation under God Indivisible with Liberty and Justice for All"

18 July 2010
by: Lieutenant Colonel Allen B West (US Army, Retired)

Greetings Wheels on the Road readers, fellow South Floridians, and all Americans, my how time flies and here we are again for our monthly political assessment.

It never ceases to amaze me that as we get closer to our monthly submission of this regular missive that the topic becomes evident. I often use an ole saying from my parents, "sometimes you just have to thank God for stupid people"....and I do. The focus for this month without any doubt has to be the NAACP and its President/CEO Benjamin Todd Jealous.

Let me make one thing very clear, my Mother, Elizabeth Thomas West, was a lifetime membership holder with the NAACP. Therefore growing up in our home I clearly understood the mission and vision for this organization. It was a mission and vision that enabled me to have the pride in myself and the heritage of my parents, grandparents, and extended family. It was a mission and vision that, to me, fostered a desire to excel beyond the standard and have a commitment to excellence regardless of skin color.

However, something has happened to that mission and vision, something horrific and inconsistent with the principles and values I recalled emanating from the "ole school" black community. Somewhere along the way victimization mentality has taken root in the black community resulting in astronomical unemployment rates, high incarceration rates, appalling murder rates, breakdown of the black family, and embarrassing teen pregnancy rates.

And in the light of all these negative socioeconomic indicators the NAACP decides that the preeminent focus of their national convention would be on issuing a resolution castigating the Tea (Taxed Enough Already) Party movement as racist. Even Congresswoman Sheila Jackson-Lee of Texas was so compelled as to state that the Tea Party is filled with Klan members.....but we will get to the Congressional Black Caucus a bit later.

Instead of maintaining its mission and vision, the NAACP has now become the "useful idiots" (a term coined by Vladimir Lenin) for liberal racism. They have made themselves into a political hack job organization which now seeks to maintain the liberal progressive socialist control of the 21 century plantation. It is on this new economic plantation where the liberals seek to enslave the black community in order to maintain a devoted, monolithic, voting electorate.

I find it interesting that the NAACP was silent when Senator Harry Reid made his insidious comments about President Obama was favorable, likeable, because he is "light-skinned" and did not speak in "negro dialect". I recall that the NAACP said nothing when Vice President Joe Biden referred to Barack Hussein Obama as "clean and articulate". The NAACP said nothing when liberals attacked Clarence Thomas, Condoleeza Rice (birthing tubes cartoon), Michael Steele, and General Colin Powell.

In 2008, where was the NAACP to denounce the obvious case of voter intimidation by the New Black Panther Party? Why did the NAACP not demand President George W Bush, and now, Attorney General Eric Holder, and the Obama administration, to prosecute this case to the fullest extent? Does the NAACP now support the same tactic which targeted the black community seeking to restrict the most fundamental of American individual rights, the right to vote? And shall the NAACP distance itself and condemn Malik Shabazz and the New Black Panther Party?

It is this duplicitous hypocrisy which allows me to state that the NAACP is shamefully now a liberal racist enabler. The upcoming mid-term elections have the Democrat party in certain peril. Therefore they have turned to their tactic of first and last resort, race baiting.

The resolution issued by the NAACP against the Tea Party is just a strategy to focus this coming election not against liberal progressive policies, which are anathema to our Republic. No, the NAACP, in conjunction with their masters, the Democrat party, seek to make this into an election based upon an insane charge of racial hatred.

We even see charlatan blasts from the past such as Julian Bond stating that Martin Luther King Jr was a socialist, a feeble attempt to garner black community acceptance of the liberal progressive agenda. We are truly on the verge of a dangerous situation in America. And yes, this also includes the lawsuit being brought against the sovereign State of Arizona, an attempt to win Hispanic votes.....an extension of liberal racism to another minority group.

We can fully expect from now until 2 November 2010 to see the usual suspects come out to promote the dishonest tyranny of the liberals. You will find the Congressional Black Caucus, Jesse Jackson, and Al Sharpton out to ensure blacks remain wedded to the failing liberal social welfare policies, all the time shouting how the Democrats know what is best. I find it comical that Al Sharpton has already leapt forward to head up a new left-wing grassroots group to counter the Tea Party called "One Nation".

Does One Nation believe in higher taxes and bigger government? Will this counter group promote individual rights and freedoms, liberty, and adherence to our US Constitution? I presume this group will seek to intimidate and put forth the ideals of collectivism combined with victimhood and expansion of the "nanny-state".

I find the Tea Party, to which I have spoken to several times, stands for fundamental principles and values consistent with that which has made America an exceptional Constitutional Republic.

Therefore, under the "leadership" of Al Sharpton, this counter group One Nation obviously stands for principles which are antithetical to our Republic.

In closing, I am sure you are asking why did the ole Colonel have the last sentence in the Pledge of Allegiance in the title for this piece?

Simple, Liberal Racism does not believe in One Nation under God. They believe in a Nation of subjects organized into collective groups under which they shall rule, not govern, in a secular humanist based society.

Indivisible, Liberal Racism does not believe in "e pluribus unim", they prefer a balkanized America where they can pit us against each other through their manipulated messages....such as Tea Party racism.

Liberal racism does not believe in Liberty and Justice for All, they believe in freedom defined by a ruling class elite while creating more victims who become dependent upon their dishonest benevolence. Justice in the world of Liberal Racism means social and economic justice rooted in a principle of leveling, which founding father Samuel Adams spoke against. Al Sharpton defined justice as everyone having the same in every home in America.....government engineering of results and outcomes.

The mid-term elections of 2 November 2010 comes down to "One Nation under God Indivisible with Liberty and Justice for All" or the concept of One Nation under the proprietor of victimization Al Sharpton, a simpleton crony of Liberal Racism. Which shall you choose?

Steadfast and Loyal,

LTC(R) Allen B West

Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.