Fan Graphs Baseball Playoff Odds

Some quarter pole statistical navel-gazing for those that are so inclined. 

At the quarter pole, the Dodgers, Nationals and Cardinals hold the top spots while the 

Mets, Cubs and Giants do battle for the wild card spots in the NL. 

In the AL, the Red Sox pull ahead of the Rays in the East, the Tigers jump ahead of the 

Royals in the Central and the Indians pull out of the cellar and ahead of the Twinkies. 

However, it appears as if Fan Graphs does believe in the Astros magic. 

In the NL, the calculator agrees with the results on the field. across the board. 

Projections are like you know what, everybody has one nowadays. I think they use the
Pyhtagorean Theorem approach to this, but not 100% sure. Some prognosticators had the Rays
finishing in last pre-season so maybe the thought is they are playing over their heads. Same with
the Indians who were a pre-season darling of a lot of people, but currently playing below  those initial projections.

I thought the whole idea of statistical analysis was to remove the emotional attachment (ie human
subjectivity) component so maybe it's just the calculator that feels this way, IDK.

Do calculators have feelings? I don't think Siri does.

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http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx

AL East

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	2015 Year to Date							2015 Projected Rest of Season							2015 Projected Full Season
Team	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G
Yankees	41	22	19	.537	12	4.37	4.07	121	63	58	.519	22	4.39	4.21	85	77	.524	34	4.39	4.18
Red Sox	40	19	21	.475	-33	3.90	4.73	122	65	57	.529	34	4.64	4.36	84	78	.516	1	4.46	4.45
Rays	41	22	19	.537	18	3.95	3.51	121	59	62	.487	-14	4.01	4.12	81	81	.499	4	3.99	3.97
Blue Jays	42	18	24	.429	12	5.12	4.83	120	61	59	.509	11	4.68	4.59	79	83	.488	23	4.79	4.66
Orioles	37	17	20	.460	4	4.51	4.41	125	61	64	.489	-14	4.41	4.52	78	84	.482	-10	4.43	4.49

AL Central

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	2015 Year to Date							2015 Projected Rest of Season							2015 Projected Full Season
Team	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G
Tigers	41	24	17	.585	15	4.34	3.98	121	63	58	.519	22	4.58	4.40	87	75	.536	37	4.52	4.29
Royals	40	26	14	.650	64	5.05	3.45	122	60	62	.494	-7	4.27	4.32	86	76	.532	57	4.46	4.11
Indians	39	16	23	.410	-18	4.28	4.74	123	65	58	.529	33	4.35	4.08	81	81	.500	15	4.33	4.24
White Sox	37	18	19	.487	-31	3.73	4.57	125	60	65	.482	-21	4.28	4.45	78	84	.483	-52	4.15	4.48
Twins	40	23	17	.575	6	4.58	4.43	122	55	67	.452	-55	4.17	4.62	78	84	.483	-49	4.27	4.57

AL West

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	2015 Year to Date							2015 Projected Rest of Season							2015 Projected Full Season
Team	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G
Astros	41	27	14	.659	29	4.44	3.73	121	59	62	.490	-11	4.39	4.48	86	76	.533	18	4.40	4.29
Angels	40	21	19	.525	3	3.68	3.60	122	64	58	.523	26	4.34	4.13	85	77	.523	29	4.17	4.00
Mariners	39	18	21	.462	-15	3.79	4.18	123	66	57	.535	39	4.34	4.02	84	78	.517	24	4.21	4.06
Athletics	42	14	28	.333	-11	4.40	4.67	120	62	58	.514	15	4.24	4.11	76	86	.467	4	4.28	4.26
Rangers	40	17	23	.425	-20	4.08	4.58	122	56	66	.458	-51	4.42	4.84	73	89	.450	-71	4.34	4.77

NL East

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	2015 Year to Date							2015 Projected Rest of Season							2015 Projected Full Season
Team	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G
Nationals	41	24	17	.585	28	5.00	4.32	121	70	51	.582	89	4.42	3.68	94	68	.583	117	4.57	3.84
Mets	41	23	18	.561	11	3.73	3.46	121	60	61	.499	-1	4.01	4.02	83	79	.515	10	3.94	3.88
Marlins	41	16	25	.390	-16	3.80	4.20	121	60	61	.498	-2	4.03	4.04	76	86	.471	-18	3.97	4.08
Braves	39	19	20	.487	-4	4.21	4.31	123	56	67	.451	-53	3.79	4.22	75	87	.460	-57	3.89	4.24
Phillies	42	18	24	.429	-52	3.17	4.40	120	51	69	.421	-85	3.72	4.43	69	93	.423	-137	3.58	4.42

NL Central

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	2015 Year to Date							2015 Projected Rest of Season							2015 Projected Full Season
Team	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G
Cardinals	40	27	13	.675	61	4.53	3.00	122	66	56	.538	41	4.21	3.87	93	69	.572	102	4.29	3.66
Cubs	39	22	17	.564	0	4.26	4.26	123	64	59	.524	26	4.23	4.02	86	76	.533	26	4.24	4.08
Pirates	40	18	22	.450	9	3.85	3.63	122	64	58	.529	31	4.15	3.90	82	80	.509	40	4.08	3.83
Reds	40	18	22	.450	-27	3.85	4.53	122	56	66	.455	-50	4.02	4.43	74	88	.454	-77	3.98	4.45
Brewers	41	15	26	.366	-51	3.78	5.02	121	57	64	.472	-32	4.17	4.43	72	90	.445	-83	4.07	4.58

NL West

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	2015 Year to Date							2015 Projected Rest of Season							2015 Projected Full Season
Team	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G	W	L	W%	RDif	RS/G	RA/G
Dodgers	39	24	15	.615	52	4.77	3.44	123	70	53	.571	77	4.32	3.70	94	68	.582	129	4.43	3.63
Giants	40	22	18	.550	6	3.78	3.63	122	62	60	.505	5	3.94	3.90	84	78	.516	11	3.90	3.83
Padres	41	20	21	.488	-15	4.41	4.78	121	62	59	.514	15	3.90	3.78	82	80	.507	0	4.03	4.03
Diamondbacks	39	18	21	.462	12	4.67	4.36	123	56	67	.459	-46	4.06	4.43	74	88	.460	-34	4.21	4.42
Rockies	37	14	23	.378	-49	3.86	5.19	125	58	67	.464	-44	4.56	4.91	72	90	.445	-93	4.40	4.98