Friday, July 23, 2010

Giants management worse than the Knicks?


HELLO BRIAN, YOU STINK!! NO REALLY, I CAN PROVE IT!!

According to Dr. Patrick Rishe, they are:

http://blogs.forbes.com/sportsmoney/2010/05/the-worst-managed-pro-sports-franchises-of-the-last-5-years/

The methodology is pretty simple and most Giants fans could have told you intuitively that the Gigantes would be in the team picture, but comparable to the Knicks? Brian Sabaean, nearly as inept as Isiah Thomas and Matt Millen? At least we don't have to worry about some of the PR/PC debacles that Thomas put the Knicks through.

THE METHODOLOGY:

I presumed that managerial inefficiency was akin to spending the most money for the least amount of victories and postseason appearances. Thus, the metric used to assess managerial inefficiency was to identify teams with the highest average payroll cost per win AND with no more than 1 post-season appearance in the last 5 years.

To make a cross-league efficiency comparison over the last 5 years, a simple ratio was constructed for each team in pro sports. The ratio was the team's 'payroll cost per win' over the median 'cost per win' for that league. So, for example, a ratio of 150 suggests that the team in question is 50% less efficient than the median standard of efficiency for the league.

Conversely, if we define 'cost effective' organizations as having the lowest 'player costs per win' and having at least a 40% playoff appearence rate over the last 5 years, then the most efficient franchise would be the Indianapolis Colts. Within their own league, they were nearly 5 times more frugal than the Lions and Rams, spending $7.8 million on player costs per win. And using the ratio approach discussed above, the Colts were 39% more efficient than the median NFL franchise (a ratio score of 61). The next closest pro sports team was the Minnesota Twins, who were 33% more efficient than the median MLB franchise.



THE RESULTS:

Using this metric coupled with the post season filter, the 3 most inefficient franchises of each league from the last 5 years are:

MLB

1) NY Mets, 2) Seattle Mariners, 3) San Francisco Giants...The average cost per Mets victory was $1.3 million, with a 20% postseason rate. The Mariners and Giants averaged a cost of $1.2 million per win with no postseason trips between them.

Using this comparative ratio metric (second paragraph above under METHODOLOGY) , the worst managed pro sports franchise of the last 5 years was the Detroit Lions. With an efficiency ratio of 262, this implies that the Lions organization has been 162% less efficient than the median NFL franchise. The St Louis Rams were a close second with a ratio of 260.

Rounding out the top 10 list of worst managed pro sports franchises over the last 5 years (with their inefficiency rating in parenthesis): 3) NY Knicks (222), 4) Oakland Raiders (191), 5) Kansas City Chiefs (159), 6) Minnesota T-Wolves (156), 7) LA Clippers (152), Cleveland Browns (146), 9) Washington Wizards (132), 10) Sacramento Kings (130).

Rounding out the top 10 list of the most managerial savvy franchises in sports over the last 5 years are teams from each major sports league: 3) San Diego Chargers, 4) New England Patriots, 5) Colorado Rockies, 6) Dallas Cowboys, 7) New York Giants, San Diego Padres, 9) Detroit Red Wings, 10) L.A. Lakers.




Giants upper management will find themselves at a crossroads moment with Sabean if the Giants do not make the playoffs this season. Sabean has once again saddled Bochy and Giants fans with another Sabeanesque roster. It is way too reliant on aging veterans, a bit slow (which impacts the defense) and lacks punch. These qualities have been highlighted because the big eraser in the middle of the lineup --- the B-POPE, BLB --- is missing.

Sabean has had some positive to point to, mainly the signings of Aubrey Huff as a free agent and adding Pat Burrell. The farm system is now an organizational plus, highlighted by the play of Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey.

Sabean’s minuses continue to anchor the roster: Aaron Rowand, Edgar Renteria, Mark DeRosa. The farm systems failing is in not producing a quality OF bat in ages.

Will the plusses outweigh the minuses? A playoff appearance will act as a great disinfectant.

No comments:

Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.