Monday, July 19, 2010

Report Card on my pre-season baseball predictions



MY PRE-SEASON PREDICTIONS:
http://slavieboy.blogspot.com/2010/04/pre-season-mlb-predictions-2010.html

VERSUS

COOL BASEBALL STANDINGS - "EXPW" OR EXPECTED WINS TOTAL AS OF TODAY
http://www.coolstandings.com/baseball_standings.asp?i=1

Since we gave the G-men a report card, we may as well turn the mirror towards ourselves and see how well our pre-season prognostication is holding up.

AL EAST - A slam dunk across the board in terms of order. Rays on track to win 97 vs 90-95 predicted and Jays could finish .500 versus 7 wins predicted. Orioles worst than expected if that's even possible.

(5-5 hit rate)

AL CENTRAL - A slam dunk again in terms of order of finish. Tightly packed, so that could change daily. WSox about as expected, on pace for 89 wins versus high 80's predicted. Twins in the mid 80's, Tigers around .500, Royals may get to mid 70's predicted, Indians worse than anticipated, if that's possible.

(5-5 hit rate)

AL WEST - Ugh!! Angels roughly as expected, around 85 wins. Rangers outperfroming 93 wins pace versus low 80's predicted. Mariners totally suck, may lose 100 versus low 80's predicted. A' as always, better than expected, near .500 versus mid 70's expected.

(1-4 hit rate, 11-14 in the AL)

Now, to the NL.

NL EAST - Braves way better than expected, on pace for mid 90's wins versus mid 80's expected. Mets are better than expected at high 80's pace rather than .500 expected. Phillies are under performing as a result, an 85 win pace versus 90+ expected. Marlins and Nats are performing as expected.

(2-5 hit rate)

NL CENTRAL - Cards are on 90+ pace as expected. Cubs will be lucky to reach the .500 expected, currently on 75 win pace. Brewers are mid 70's rather than .500 expected. Big miss on the Reds, expected about a 75 win team, on pace for 91 wins. Astros worse than expected 63 wins pace versus 75 expected. Pirates are about right, 100 losses or bust.

(4-6 hit rate)

NL WEST - Hit the Giants on the nose and the Dodgers pretty close. Rockies as expected as well, near .500. Big miss on the Padres to the plus side (96 wins pace versus 70 expected) and the D-Backs on the minus side (61 wins pace versus 85 expected).

(3-5 hit rate, 9-16 in the NL, 20-30 overall)

Two out of three, not too bad. You could make some money in Vegas betting the over/under wins totals at that rate, although some are pretty close.

Overall, probably a B-.

Padres and Reds are the big surprises. I think the Padres are going to be in it all the way, not sure sure about Dustiny's Darlings. Rangers are seizing on their opportunity with the Cliff Lee deal, so they will be players down the stretch.
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Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.