Sunday, September 19, 2010

Giants hit HR's, they score...if they don't, not so much



Since the August 23-25th series against the Reds at San Francisco, the Giants offense has been almost exclusively dependent on the HR to score runs.

In that series, the scored 11-16-11 R's and slugged 2-4-1 HR's, with the HR's producing 3-6-3 Runs.

Since that time the Giants have played 21 Games.

In 12 of those games, they failed to hit a HR and scored a total of 20 Runs.

An average of 1.82 RPG.

Nine of those were scored in one game. In the other eleven games, eleven runs scored.

So lately, one can conclude the if the Giants do not hit a HR, the will only score 1-2 runs.

Did I mention they have been shut out in four of those games? Seems like a lot.

In the nine games in which they did hit HR's, the Gigantes scored a total of 46 runs

An average of 5.11 RPG.

Embedded within those games are an additional 18 runs produced without the benefit of the HR.

An average of 2.0 RPG produced even on days when they are ON.

Manager Bochy comments after a recent loss:

“I do think we’re trying to do too much, overswinging a little bit,” Bochy said. “We’ve got to calm down a little bit. I know they all want to be the guy.”

The Giants had regained the top spot in the division with a 10-2 rout of the rival Dodgers on Thursday, but have managed only one run in two games since against the non-contending Brewers (69-78).

“We’re a funny team that way,” Bochy said. “We put big runs up or we get shut down.”

Not funny really. Actually quite predictable.

The Giants are a one-dimensional, predictable offense that is over-reliant on the HR to produce runs. An old-fashioned AL offense.

The last 6 games the Giants have not produced a HR, they have scored 1-0-2-0-0-1 Runs.
In the 2 games they produced a HR, they scored 10-6 Runs.

They are overly reliant on the pitcher making a mistake, which they will punish. On days the pitcher minimizes mistakes, NO HR's = Few Runs Scored.

The line on HR's from 9/18 to 8/27 (21 G's) games runs as follows:

0-0-3-0-0-1-0-0-2-1-3-0-1-4-0-0-1-0-0-1-0

So they are not even consistent in their ability to hit HR's, which indicates they will struggle against other teams 1-2 starters (better pitching) and "feast" (comparatively speaking) against the 3-4 starters.

Unfortunately -- even if they make the playoffs at this rate -- you only face 1-2-3 starters in the playoffs. This does not bode well.

The offense is overly dependent on pitchers making mistakes rather on having any capacity at all on the offensive side to force mistakes. The off-season focus should be on bringing in hitters who have some diversity in their games as well as more plate discipline.

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Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.