Thursday, February 19, 2015

Steamer Projections are in for the Giants - Pitchers and Catchers Report (Hallelujah!!)


I like the methodology and I can't argue against the results too much. Susac should be more a .250 guy than a .225 with occasional pop especially in a platoon role. If he played every day, maybe .225. It is tough to learn how to be a major league hitter at the major league level. The penalty of last year's battlefield promotion.

Not much to see among the bats. If Duvall could hit more in the .250 - .275 range he might get the start at 3B. His glove is still a question mark as well. Carbonell may still be a year or two away.


from MiLB.com
Prospect projections: Joc Pederson, Jon Gray among National League West rookies who could make an impact | MiLB.com News | The Official Site of Minor League Baseball:

 San Francisco Giants

HITTERS
GiantsPOSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGwOBAwRC+FldWAR
Andrew SusacC450112.224.304.355.297930.91.9
Matt Duffy2B600516.247.301.329.282841.50.5
Jarrett ParkerOF6001311.214.288.338.282830.00.3
Gary BrownOF600821.224.272.321.266725.90.1
Adam Duvall3B600214.222.273.384.29189-7.80.0
Kelby Tomlinson2B600228.206.262.264.240540.0-0.8
Angel Villalona1B600143.202.243.325.252630.0-1.9
Daniel CarbonellOF600912.206.240.293.238530.0-1.9
The Giants don't have a ton on the way when it comes to offensive prospects, but the players who should graduate this year fit remarkably well with San Francisco's roster.
In almost any other city, fans might be clamoring to get a look at Andrew Susac behind the dish. However, Buster Posey is going nowhere. That said, Posey has averaged only 115 games behind the plate the past three seasons, leaving room for Susac to play a couple times per week as his backup. Susac seems poised to thrive in that role after posting a .792 OPS in 35 big league games last year. He's solid behind the plate, and many young catchers benefit long-term from learning the intricacies of the position in the Majors while in backup roles. The 24-year-old could earn more playing time if he can learn to play first base or a corner outfield spot, but he doesn't have notable experience at any other position and may lack the athleticism for the outfield.
San Francisco graduated one promising middle infielder last year in Joe Panik. This year, Matt Duffy should do the same, albeit with a little less fanfare. Duffy lacks Panik's offensive upside, though the gap isn't that large. Conversely, Duffy is a sharper defender than Panik, capable of manning shortstop but with a skill set that translates best in a utility role. Panik and Brandon Crawford are both left-handed hitters, so the right-handed Duffy could step into a platoon role if either struggles to replicate last season's successes.


Among the pitchers, Steamer likes Strickland and so do I. A combination of "effective/selective" wildness and better mix of pitches should help his battle against "gopher-ballitis".  Cordier should get a look this year, he projects as perhaps Strickland with a wild streak. Cody Hall could help in middle relief this year as well.

The more highly touted starting pitching prospects look to slated for 2016 arrival according to Steamer and given the current roster construction, management seems to concur.

PITCHERS
GiantsWLERAGSGIPHRWHIPK/9BB/9FIPWAR
Hunter Strickland432.490656541.0610.02.32.660.8
Cody Hall333.210656551.218.73.03.350.2
Erik Cordier333.200656541.2610.44.33.290.1
Ty Blach11144.493232200211.385.22.94.41-0.2
Clayton Blackburn443.820656561.267.32.73.81-0.2
Ray Black333.620656561.298.03.43.73-0.2
Steven Okert333.670656561.337.73.63.86-0.3
Derek Law333.830656561.337.43.53.92-0.3
Brett Bochy333.930656561.357.23.64.05-0.3
Adalberto Mejia444.250656571.376.43.34.20-0.6
Braulio Lara334.330656571.477.24.64.55-0.6
Kyle Crick354.560656561.528.95.94.33-0.7
Chris Heston344.300656561.376.33.24.23-0.7
Chris Stratton344.550656571.446.94.24.40-0.7
Joan Gregorio354.800656571.486.04.14.67-1.0
Nik Turley355.580656591.675.55.55.85-1.2
Beyond Strickland, Steamer thinks Erik Cordier and Cody Hall are promising bullpen options. Cordier reached the Majors last year, posting a 1.50 ERA over six innings and averaging 99.2 mph on his fastball. Hall, meanwhile, pitched out of the 'pen at Double-A, compiling a 3.14 ERA with more than a strikeout per inning.
A number of the team's top starting pitching prospects also workhed at Double-A last season, including Kyle Crick, Adalberto Mejia, Ty Blach, Clayton Blackburn, Chris Stratton and Derek Law. Steamer doesn't think any of that crew is ready for the Major League rotation, though.

No comments:

Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.