Monday, August 15, 2011

The ‘Fatal Error’ of 1971 - August 15, 2011 - The New York Sun

Nixon Ends Bretton Woods International Monetary System


He was impeached for Watergate, he should have been shot for this. I AM NOT A CROOK, INDEED!! This demonstrates what happens when you allow "crisis management" ie: "never let a good crisis go to waste" dictate policy. It overrides and overruns common-sense and leads to insane policy decisions, the ramifications of which take many years / decades to play out.

The ‘Fatal Error’ of 1971 - August 15, 2011 - The New York Sun:

"In the short term, the closing of the gold window precipitated what Lewis Lehrman, writing in today’s Wall Street Journal, describes as “a decade of one of the worst inflations of American history and the most stagnant economy since the Great Depression.” The situation was righted by the combination of President Reagan’s supply-side fiscal policies and the tight money regime of Paul Volcker at the Federal Reserve. Yet there was no permanent repair of the world monetary system, no restoration of the legal checks of government over-reach.

The absence of any legal connection between the dollar and gold permitted the combination of fiscal and monetary over-reach that has, today, delivered us a dollar with a value of barely more than a 1,800th of an ounce of gold, less than a percent of the value of the constitutional dollar. It is noteworthy that the top contenders for the Republican nomination for president, Michele Bachmann, has said she’s prepared to look at a gold standard and that the close runner up, Ron Paul, has made sound money his central issue throughout his entire long career in the Congress."

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Jim Rickards analysis of the announcement puts things in perspective rather nicely. He also provides perhaps a silver lining (if I might mix metaphors a bit) for policy makers in dealing with the debt and how it relates to fiscal and monetary issues.

from King World News:

Rickards - KWN Special Release, US Will Revalue Gold to $7,000

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/8/15_Rickards_-_KWN_Special_Release%2C_US_Will_Revalue_Gold_to_%247%2C000.html

Nixon goes on the air and he interrupts Bonanza, again it would be like the President coming on with a special announcement nobody was prepared for in the middle of American Idol, he’s (Nixon is) sitting at his desk and there is an American flag in the background and he says three things:

He said first of all I am imposing national price controls because there was an inflation problem in the United States at the time. The second thing he said was I am putting a 10% surtax of imports on all imported goods coming into the United States. Then about 10 minutes into the speech, very much en passant, he said, ‘Oh by the way we are suspending the convertibility of dollars into gold’ and he immediately went into this Nixonian rant about speculators.

He acted like the wounded party, he said, ‘I refuse to let the American dollar be held hostage by speculators and we are going to make sure these speculators never do our economy harm. So we are going to make it impossible for the speculators to profit by shutting the gold window’. He made it sound like he was doing everyone a big favor.

So it was very interesting, there were three earth-shaking announcements. Can you imagine any one of those three things going on today? President Obama or any President saying he was going to impose nationwide price controls, or all Chinese goods would have a 10% surcharge. It would be cataclysmic, yet Nixon did both of those things. Plus (Nixon) took us off the gold standard, so it was quite a dramatic speech.

In a strange way he did us all a favor by making sure we (the US) held on to the gold. So I do think the United States is in a position to revalue the currency using gold to that $7,000 level. That will obviously be a huge benefit to all of the people who invested in gold because they are going to be along for the ride, along with the United States when that gold goes to $7,000.”

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Rickards on CNBC describing how the banks should be handled:






Sure seems like we have this debt thing under control, don't you think?


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from Business Week: The Nixon Shock

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/the-nixon-shock-08042011.html

How Nixon stopped backing the dollar with gold and changed global finance, a 40-year-old decision that still echoes in Greece, Ireland, and the U.S.

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Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.