CAN'T WAIT!!!!
I have to admit I use a similar methodology to to begin the process of sorting / ranking my Giants prospect list. However, instead of taking Bob and Carol and Ted and Alice's opinion, I use Baseball America, Fan Graphs, John Sickels and other scouting authorities, to come up with the initial group of names and preliminary rankings. No knock on these guys, they likely read the same sources that most of us do. The big-guys have their reputations for a reason. This approach is very consensus, "wisdom of the crowd" oriented. I think McCovey Chronicles takes a similar approach, so it's apparently a copy-cat league in the blog-osphere as well as the NFL.
from draysbay.com
2013 DRaysBay writers' top 30 prospect list - DRaysBay:
To combine the four lists, I used the NCAA poll point system. A vote for first place is 30 points, second is 29, all the way down to 30th being 1 point. To break the ties, I went with the player who had the smaller standard deviation between the two.
'via Blog this'
So, if I have, let's say 7 master lists to begin, the names that appear on all seven lists rise to the top, the ones who appear on 6 of 7 are next, and so on. Within those categories I sub-sort by who appears the highest (and receives the lowest score, much like golf) on the lists in aggregate as a tie-breaker. If there are seven lists, a perfect score is 7 -- the number 1 ranking on all seven lists. A consensus-stud prospect, if you will. There are not too many of those, since there seems to be a bit of a competition to out-identify the competition.
Then I look into the statistical components, age, level of play and so on to adjust players up or down. The "guru's lists" tend to over-rank the younger guys for some reason. It may be the need among that group to be recognized as the "first to identify the next big thing" so I put a little more stock in the statistical analysis than OPR or "Other Peoples Rankings".
This is where the rubber hits the road as far as identifying a "dark-horse" who makes it, when nobody else sees him or a consensus favorite "breaks it" and becomes an infamous bust. Some statistics are simply more relevant than others and either send up red-flags or the give you the old checkered flag (WINNER!!).
If I really feel up to it, I'll try to find some film, either on YouTube or a scouting service and see if the guy "looks the part" of a true prospect. Maybe as a pitcher, he's succeeding with a "funked-up" delivery. After that, it's all over but writing a thumb-nail of what you've seen, heard and read and numbers-crunched.
Presto!! Now you can make your very own Organizational Prospect List, just like the experts do. As soon as you know which stats to look for. Stay tuned for more on that in the future.
I like the lists overall and it is clear why the Rays have the sterling reputation they do as an organization that scouts, drafts and develops well. Like the Giants, their top 7-10 guys look like they will be solid players for years to come.
The Rays have to win in this area of the game in order to survive the division they are in. They simply continue to do the most-est (developing stars) with the least-est (money to invest in payroll).
more from draysbay.com:
http://www.draysbay.com/rays-prospects/2013/1/25/3914642/top-30-prospects-week-dans-top-30
1. Wil Myers, OF
2. Chris Archer, RHP
3. Taylor Guerrieri, RHP
4. Jake Odorizzi, RHP
5. Alex Colome, RHP
6. Hak-Ju Lee, SS
7. Richie Shaffer, 3B
8. Jake Hager, SS
9. Blake Snell, LHP
10. Brandon Guyer, OF
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