Wednesday, December 01, 2010

Dec 9th: Rule 5 Draft - The Potential Giants Losses



The Rule 5 draft is coming up on December 9th. The Giants have previously made a couple of roster moves to protect highly regarded prospects RHP Jose Casilla (Santiago's brother), Steve Edlefsen and LHP Clayton Tanner. The G-men previously added OF Thomas Neal and SS Ehire Adrianza.

They are still likely to lose a prospect or two that cannot be protected.

First a little bit of background information. The Rule 5 draft was implemented to prevent wealthier teams from stockpiling prospects who are blocked from advancing by more talented prospects. If a players is a bona-fide major league prospect but the organization has a star at that position, the player is said to be "blocked" from advancing by that player. The Rule 5 Draft allows another organization to draft that player, pay a fee to the other organization and acquire the players services. It serves as a vehicle to redistribute or re-balance talented players somewhat.

All of the guys in the picture above were acquired via the Rule 5 Draft process.

If a team selects a players in the ML portion of the draft, they have to to 'use him or lose him'. If a team does not keep the player on their 40-man roster by a certain date, they may be selected by another team in this draft with a payment of $50,000. They must also keep the player on their active, 25-man roster all season, or offer the player back to their original team for $25,000.

Not all prospects are eligible for the rule 5 Draft until they meet certain service requirements. The deadline for eligibility is after four seasons in the system for players signed at the age of 19 or over (which includes most college draftees), or after five seasons in the system for players signed at the age of 18 or younger (which includes most HS players and INTL signings).

Players selected and signed in the 2007 draft, or HS players schoolers taken and signed in the 2006 draft, are among those becoming eligible for the Rule 5 Draft for first time this year.

The most likely Giants Rule 5 Prospects:

Among the pitchers:

LHP Joe Patterson
LHP Craig Clark
RHP Kyle Nicholson
RHP Danny Otero

All have show enough flashes to be marked as serious prospects but at the same time bouts of inconsistency red-flags that have slowed their progress through the system. The lefties are at most risk of being taken simply because LHP is always at a premium and teams attempt to find serviceable arms wherever and whenever they can.

Among the position players:

2B Brock Bond
C Jackson Williams
1B Brett Pill
CF Ben Copeland
C Johnny Morrell
CF Wendell Fairley

All of these guys are either solid one-tool guys who could contribute to a roster on that basis or are blocked from advancing within this organization due to numbers. Williams is a solid defender who has not hit enough to stick. Same perhaps with Bond and Morrell, although Morrell is more bat than glove. Copeland is getting up in years and expendable with Gary Brown around in CF. Pill is hurt by the fast rising Brandon Belt. Wendell Fairley never lived up to his initial hype, some organization has to be in a gambling mood.

Giants could very well lose two pitchers (the LHP's) and two position players this time around. The good news is that due to the recent string of successful drafts, the organization is now deep enough to weather this winter prospect raid.

No comments:

Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.