Friday, August 09, 2013

MLB Per Capita Attendance Shows Which Cities Truly Support Their Teams - Business Insider


If this chart is "true" then I owe the Rays fans an apology. But is it "true" as in which fans "truly" support their teams?

If you look at the issue as Business Insider does, on a relative basis, then yes the plucky small-market cities of Milwaukee, Cincinnati and St. Louis are the best fans in MLB. Even then however, the Rays only slightly lead the A's -- who are looking to relocate to San Jose -- but at least they do have the honor of leading the Marlins who have their own unique issues ( but they also have two rings ).

from the Business Insider:
CHART: MLB Per Capita Attendance Shows Which Cities Truly Support Their Teams - Business Insider:
When it comes to attendance in Major League Baseball, a sport that often has six home games in a single week, teams in the largest cities have a distinct advantage.
The attendance figures for big market clubs can also paint a misleading picture that suggests smaller market teams have poor attendance. In reality, many of the smaller market teams are actually doing pretty well considering the size of their metropolitan area.
Below is a look at the per capita attendance for each MLB team based on 2012 census estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Government of Canada. The Brewers show the strongest attendance with their average attendance (31,542) representing 2.01% of Milwaukee's population (1.8 million). That is nearly four times higher than the average MLB team (0.51%).
'via Blog this'

So this chart on the surface says that attendance relative to market size is more important than attendance measured on an absolute basis. That's fine, except that virtually everything else of importance is measured on an absolute basis rather than a relative basis. Maybe if you could handicap payroll on a relative size basis or better yet wins and losses, it would be a better world. But it's not the world we live in.

Unfortunately boys and girls, size does matter.

On a relative basis, is what Business Insider trying to show true? Absolutely true, but on an absolute basis, definitely not true. In my opinion, a better measure of which fans "truly" best support their teams would not be a relative / absolute attendance comparison but would rather focus on the level of team's attendance and how it ebbs and flows in relation to wins and losses. Are fans the "fair weather" variety -- as some have accused Miami among others of being historically --  or does attendance fluctuate dramatically relative to wins and losses?

Maybe I'll work on that project as well.

TO DO LIST:
Study Giants limp bat speed issue
Study Rays limp attendance issue

I'm going to have to free up some more time in my schedule to solve these two important issues.



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Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.