Monday, May 18, 2015

MLB Mock Draft 2015: Version 1.0 - BaseballAmerica.com

No, please NO!!! I reject the premise and the logic behind this projected pick.

from baseballamerica.com
http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/mlb-mock-draft-2015-version-1-0/

18. GiantsSan Francisco needs to replenish its pitching stable, and its front office has the stability (and three World Series rings) to take chances on injured arms. How else could the Giants get top-of-the-draft upside while picking 18th?Selection: Brady Aiken, lhp, IMG Academy, Bradenton, Fla.

The Giants haven't traditionally gone for the high-ceiling HS arms early in the draft, preferring instead to go for the high-floor/low-ceiling college pitcher. They have recently added pitching via trade and / or  free agency. Past exceptions were Bumgarner and/Tim Alderson in 2007, Zach Wheeler in 2009, and Kyle Crick in 2011,

I can see them going the HS arm / bat route with the compensation pick and you wait there for a guy you projected higher to fall to your spot, The only other ways to get top of the draft talent is to either finish last for a year or two or trade away a valuable piece before he goes free-agent on you.

So to answer the initial premise, "How else do the Giants get premium talent at bargain prices?", the answers are:
  • Be patient and wait for other teams to make mistakes of haste and expediency
  • finish last every once in a while
  • trade away value now, for potential value (and possible loss) later 
The Giants have shown an ability to keep the guys they want around and use up guys who walk and take the compensation round pick. In that spot you can roll the dice and feel like you're playing with house money a little bit. The slow and steady, patient approach doesn't make headlines or draw accolades the next day, -- heck I even turned my nose up a bit when they drafted a lesser known name like Madison Bumgarner some years back -- but it has been paying big dividends for the Giants,  

The "high-floor / low-ceiling" (lower risk/lower reward) approach may explain why they seemingly have not "developed" a super-star  from scratch, instead getting "ready made, mix and eat Cream of Wheat" Buster Posey early, after finishing at or near the basement, when he dropped to them in the 2008 draft, The "high-ceiling / low floor" (higher-risk/higher-reward) " guys are usually identified and gone before the successful teams have much of a shot at drafting them. The draft is designed to be the penalty that winning brings and the salve for a losing year.


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Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.