Thursday, May 11, 2017

Getting Rich in America, David Henderson | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty


Image result for getting rich in america
This is just a solid list. It follows the get/stay educated, get/stay employed, get/stay married model that I keep trying to promote. It's just practical and pragmatic, if not sexy and exciting (although it could be if done correctly).

Getting Rich in America, David Henderson | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty

Sometimes, when the person beside me on an airplane finds out that I'm an economist, he/she will ask, "What's going to happen to the economy?" I answer, "I don't know." If the person is somewhat more sophisticated, he will ask "What's going to happen to interest rates?" I used to answer, "I don't know." I now answer: "They'll fluctuate."
Sometimes the person will ask, "How do I get rich?" I used to answer, "I don't know." But now that I've seen a lot and seen the basic mistakes so many people make, I realize that, compared to a large majority of Americans, I do know. I know how to get rich--slowly.

In 1999, two economists, Dwight R. Lee and Richard B. McKenzie, wrote a book, Getting Rich in America: 8 Simple Rules for Building a Fortune and a Satisfying Life. In my review of the book for the Wall Street Journal, I called it the "how-to guide for becoming the millionaire next door." I realized when reading it that I had been following all 8 rules without ever having written them down.
          Here they are:
1. Think of America as a land of choices.
One great quote is from a small successful businessman who said, "If you want your prayers answered, get off your knees and hustle." They point out, "You must do something that will be seen to be of value for others."

Note: When I talk about these rules in class, if I have students from poor countries I give them rule 0: Move to America.

2. Take the power of compound interest seriously--and then save.
Albert Einstein is reputed to have answered, when asked what is the greatest force in nature, "Compound interest." (I don't believe it but it's a great story and makes the point.)
When a friend who had studied saving behavior of various ethnic groups was visiting me almost 20 years ago, I told him that I saved about 20% of my pre-tax income. His eyes widened and he said, "You're Korean." How did I do that? Every time I got a raise, even just an inflation adjustment, I raised my saving rate by 1 or 2 percentage points. Starting from 10% in the mid-1980s, I was at about 20% by 1993.

3. Resist temptation.
This is the hardest rule for most people to follow. I'm really good at it. My wine of choice is two-buck Chuck, I virtually never order alcohol when I eat out, and when I buy cars, I try to hold on to them for at least 10 years. I spend little on clothes. One Starbuck's tall mocha a week is a treat.

4. Get a good education.
"Take professors, not courses," write Lee and McKenzie. I thought this was mine. It wasn't.

5. Get married and stay married.
When I teach this, I point out the following: "50% of American men, when they leave their houses, kiss their wives good-bye. 93% of American men, when they leave their wives, kiss their houses good-bye."
Dwight Lee explained to me that if you follow the other 7 rules, there's no need to get married. But what they have observed--and I've observed it also--is that when you don't get married, you tend not to follow some of the other rules.

6. Take care of yourself.
Don't smoke, do drink moderately, and do exercise. Sickness is expensive and shortens your life, reducing the time over which you can build your fortune.

7. Take prudent risks.
Don't put all your money in what you think will be the next Microsoft. It could just as easily be the next Enron. I invest in Vanguard and much of that is in their total stock market index. The expense ratio is under 0.2%. I also diversify internationally.
Lee and McKenzie write, "Remember, the surest way to get rich in the stock market is slowly--which paradoxically is (unless you are unusually lucky) also the fastest way."

8. Strive for balance.
Have some component of volunteer activity in your life. (This is part of the "satisfying life" part of the sub-title.) The authors recommending "giving back." Most of what people call giving back is not giving back at all. Nor need it be. It's simply giving. And there's nothing wrong with that.



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Giants Top Minor League Prospects

  • 1. Joey Bart 6-2, 215 C Power arm and a power bat, playing a premium defensive position. Good catch and throw skills.
  • 2. Heliot Ramos 6-2, 185 OF Potential high-ceiling player the Giants have been looking for. Great bat speed, early returns were impressive.
  • 3. Chris Shaw 6-3. 230 1B Lefty power bat, limited defensively to 1B, Matt Adams comp?
  • 4. Tyler Beede 6-4, 215 RHP from Vanderbilt projects as top of the rotation starter when he works out his command/control issues. When he misses, he misses by a bunch.
  • 5. Stephen Duggar 6-1, 170 CF Another toolsy, under-achieving OF in the Gary Brown mold, hoping for better results.
  • 6. Sandro Fabian 6-0, 180 OF Dominican signee from 2014, shows some pop in his bat. Below average arm and lack of speed should push him towards LF.
  • 7. Aramis Garcia 6-2, 220 C from Florida INTL projects as a good bat behind the dish with enough defensive skill to play there long-term
  • 8. Heath Quinn 6-2, 190 OF Strong hitter, makes contact with improving approach at the plate. Returns from hamate bone injury.
  • 9. Garrett Williams 6-1, 205 LHP Former Oklahoma standout, Giants prototype, low-ceiling, high-floor prospect.
  • 10. Shaun Anderson 6-4, 225 RHP Large frame, 3.36 K/BB rate. Can start or relieve
  • 11. Jacob Gonzalez 6-3, 190 3B Good pedigree, impressive bat for HS prospect.
  • 12. Seth Corry 6-2 195 LHP Highly regard HS pick. Was mentioned as possible chip in high profile trades.
  • 13. C.J. Hinojosa 5-10, 175 SS Scrappy IF prospect in the mold of Kelby Tomlinson, just gets it done.
  • 14. Garett Cave 6-4, 200 RHP He misses a lot of bats and at times, the plate. 13 K/9 an 5 B/9. Wild thing.

2019 MLB Draft - Top HS Draft Prospects

  • 1. Bobby Witt, Jr. 6-1,185 SS Colleyville Heritage HS (TX) Oklahoma commit. Outstanding defensive SS who can hit. 6.4 speed in 60 yd. Touched 97 on mound. Son of former major leaguer. Five tool potential.
  • 2. Riley Greene 6-2, 190 OF Haggerty HS (FL) Florida commit.Best HS hitting prospect. LH bat with good eye, plate discipline and developing power.
  • 3. C.J. Abrams 6-2, 180 SS Blessed Trinity HS (GA) High-ceiling athlete. 70 speed with plus arm. Hitting needs to develop as he matures. Alabama commit.
  • 4. Reece Hinds 6-4, 210 SS Niceville HS (FL) Power bat, committed to LSU. Plus arm, solid enough bat to move to 3B down the road. 98MPH arm.
  • 5. Daniel Espino 6-3, 200 RHP Georgia Premier Academy (GA) LSU commit. Touches 98 on FB with wipe out SL.

2019 MLB Draft - Top College Draft Prospects

  • 1. Adley Rutschman C Oregon State Plus defender with great arm. Excellent receiver plus a switch hitter with some pop in the bat.
  • 2. Shea Langliers C Baylor Excelent throw and catch skills with good pop time. Quick bat, uses all fields approach with some pop.
  • 3. Zack Thompson 6-2 LHP Kentucky Missed time with an elbow issue. FB up to 95 with plenty of secondary stuff.
  • 4. Matt Wallner 6-5 OF Southern Miss Run producing bat plus mid to upper 90's FB closer. Power bat from the left side, athletic for size.
  • 5. Nick Lodolo LHP TCU Tall LHP, 95MPH FB and solid breaking stuff.